Recent forecasts from multiple models indicate Cape Town overnight lows near 9–12°C for August 31, driven by clear to partly cloudy skies under a building high-pressure ridge and light southerly flow that limits cloud cover and allows moderate radiative cooling. This setup aligns with typical late-winter climatology for the region, where minimum temperatures average 8–11°C absent strong cold-air advection. Trader consensus reflects lingering model spread on exact radiative loss rates and any last-minute wind shifts, elevating the implied probability of 5°C or below while keeping mid-range outcomes (7–14°C) competitive; updated South African Weather Service guidance and next 48-hour model runs will likely narrow these ranges ahead of market resolution.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoLowest temperature in Cape Town on August 31?
Lowest temperature in Cape Town on August 31?
5°C or below 68%
15°C or higher 54%
6°C 49%
10°C 49%
NOWE
NOWE
Aug 31, 2026
5°C or below
68%
6°C
49%
7°C
25%
8°C
27%
9°C
27%
10°C
49%
11°C
49%
12°C
2%
13°C
44%
14°C
44%
15°C or higher
54%
5°C or below 68%
15°C or higher 54%
6°C 49%
10°C 49%
NOWE
NOWE
Aug 31, 2026
5°C or below
$0 Wol.
68%
6°C
$0 Wol.
49%
7°C
$0 Wol.
25%
8°C
$0 Wol.
27%
9°C
$0 Wol.
27%
10°C
$0 Wol.
49%
11°C
$0 Wol.
49%
12°C
$0 Wol.
2%
13°C
$0 Wol.
44%
14°C
$0 Wol.
44%
15°C or higher
$0 Wol.
54%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 31 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=fact
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from multiple models indicate Cape Town overnight lows near 9–12°C for August 31, driven by clear to partly cloudy skies under a building high-pressure ridge and light southerly flow that limits cloud cover and allows moderate radiative cooling. This setup aligns with typical late-winter climatology for the region, where minimum temperatures average 8–11°C absent strong cold-air advection. Trader consensus reflects lingering model spread on exact radiative loss rates and any last-minute wind shifts, elevating the implied probability of 5°C or below while keeping mid-range outcomes (7–14°C) competitive; updated South African Weather Service guidance and next 48-hour model runs will likely narrow these ranges ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 31 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=fact
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=fact
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Rynek otwarty: Aug 29, 2026, 12:31 AM ET
Wolumen
$0Data zakończenia
Aug 31, 2026Rynek otwarty
Aug 29, 2026, 12:31 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=factRozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 31 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=fact
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from multiple models indicate Cape Town overnight lows near 9–12°C for August 31, driven by clear to partly cloudy skies under a building high-pressure ridge and light southerly flow that limits cloud cover and allows moderate radiative cooling. This setup aligns with typical late-winter climatology for the region, where minimum temperatures average 8–11°C absent strong cold-air advection. Trader consensus reflects lingering model spread on exact radiative loss rates and any last-minute wind shifts, elevating the implied probability of 5°C or below while keeping mid-range outcomes (7–14°C) competitive; updated South African Weather Service guidance and next 48-hour model runs will likely narrow these ranges ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 31 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=fact
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=fact
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Wolumen
$0Data zakończenia
Aug 31, 2026Rynek otwarty
Aug 29, 2026, 12:31 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=factRozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from multiple models indicate Cape Town overnight lows near 9–12°C for August 31, driven by clear to partly cloudy skies under a building high-pressure ridge and light southerly flow that limits cloud cover and allows moderate radiative cooling. This setup aligns with typical late-winter climatology for the region, where minimum temperatures average 8–11°C absent strong cold-air advection. Trader consensus reflects lingering model spread on exact radiative loss rates and any last-minute wind shifts, elevating the implied probability of 5°C or below while keeping mid-range outcomes (7–14°C) competitive; updated South African Weather Service guidance and next 48-hour model runs will likely narrow these ranges ahead of market resolution.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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