Recent official and model consensus forecasts for Chengdu point to a daily minimum temperature of 22–24°C on August 29, driven by persistent cloud cover, high humidity, and scattered thunderstorms that limit radiative cooling overnight in the Sichuan basin. These conditions align with late-summer monsoon patterns, where tropical nights (minimums above 20°C) remain common and steering flows keep cooler air masses at bay. Multiple sources, including regional meteorological guidance, show overnight lows stabilizing near 23–24°C amid 70–100% rain probabilities on preceding days, supporting the market's emphasis on 24°C as the leading outcome while capping probabilities for extremes below 20°C or above 26°C. Updated model runs and surveillance data through August 28 will refine any last adjustments before resolution.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoLowest temperature in Chengdu on August 29?
Lowest temperature in Chengdu on August 29?
23°C 45%
24°C 45%
25°C 45%
22°C 44%
NOWE
NOWE
Aug 29, 2026
17°C or below
39%
18°C
7%
19°C
16%
20°C
36%
21°C
37%
22°C
44%
23°C
45%
24°C
45%
25°C
45%
26°C
34%
27°C or higher
2%
23°C 45%
24°C 45%
25°C 45%
22°C 44%
NOWE
NOWE
Aug 29, 2026
17°C or below
$135 Wol.
39%
18°C
$5 Wol.
7%
19°C
$5 Wol.
16%
20°C
$0 Wol.
36%
21°C
$0 Wol.
37%
22°C
$0 Wol.
44%
23°C
$0 Wol.
45%
24°C
$0 Wol.
45%
25°C
$0 Wol.
45%
26°C
$0 Wol.
34%
27°C or higher
$5 Wol.
2%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent official and model consensus forecasts for Chengdu point to a daily minimum temperature of 22–24°C on August 29, driven by persistent cloud cover, high humidity, and scattered thunderstorms that limit radiative cooling overnight in the Sichuan basin. These conditions align with late-summer monsoon patterns, where tropical nights (minimums above 20°C) remain common and steering flows keep cooler air masses at bay. Multiple sources, including regional meteorological guidance, show overnight lows stabilizing near 23–24°C amid 70–100% rain probabilities on preceding days, supporting the market's emphasis on 24°C as the leading outcome while capping probabilities for extremes below 20°C or above 26°C. Updated model runs and surveillance data through August 28 will refine any last adjustments before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Rynek otwarty: Aug 27, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Wolumen
$150Data zakończenia
Aug 29, 2026Rynek otwarty
Aug 27, 2026, 12:30 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuuResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent official and model consensus forecasts for Chengdu point to a daily minimum temperature of 22–24°C on August 29, driven by persistent cloud cover, high humidity, and scattered thunderstorms that limit radiative cooling overnight in the Sichuan basin. These conditions align with late-summer monsoon patterns, where tropical nights (minimums above 20°C) remain common and steering flows keep cooler air masses at bay. Multiple sources, including regional meteorological guidance, show overnight lows stabilizing near 23–24°C amid 70–100% rain probabilities on preceding days, supporting the market's emphasis on 24°C as the leading outcome while capping probabilities for extremes below 20°C or above 26°C. Updated model runs and surveillance data through August 28 will refine any last adjustments before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Wolumen
$150Data zakończenia
Aug 29, 2026Rynek otwarty
Aug 27, 2026, 12:30 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuuResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent official and model consensus forecasts for Chengdu point to a daily minimum temperature of 22–24°C on August 29, driven by persistent cloud cover, high humidity, and scattered thunderstorms that limit radiative cooling overnight in the Sichuan basin. These conditions align with late-summer monsoon patterns, where tropical nights (minimums above 20°C) remain common and steering flows keep cooler air masses at bay. Multiple sources, including regional meteorological guidance, show overnight lows stabilizing near 23–24°C amid 70–100% rain probabilities on preceding days, supporting the market's emphasis on 24°C as the leading outcome while capping probabilities for extremes below 20°C or above 26°C. Updated model runs and surveillance data through August 28 will refine any last adjustments before resolution.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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