Current forecasts from multiple meteorological sources indicate a minimum temperature in Chengdu on September 21 likely near 20–22°C, driven by persistent cloud cover, light winds, and high humidity that limit radiative cooling overnight. This aligns with late-summer patterns in the Sichuan Basin, where average September lows hover around 19–21°C but recent model consensus shows slightly warmer conditions due to stable high pressure and minimal cold-air advection. Trader sentiment remains closely split between sub-17°C and 26°C+ outcomes because ensemble models still carry uncertainty in exact boundary-layer cooling rates and any late-day frontal influences. Fresh high-resolution runs from agencies like the China Meteorological Administration and global centers will refine these thresholds ahead of market resolution.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoLowest temperature in Chengdu on September 21?
26°C or higher 95%
16°C or below 94%
20°C 40%
17°C 39%
16°C or below
94%
17°C
39%
18°C
39%
19°C
39%
20°C
40%
21°C
26%
22°C
39%
23°C
39%
24°C
39%
25°C
39%
26°C or higher
95%
26°C or higher 95%
16°C or below 94%
20°C 40%
17°C 39%
16°C or below
94%
17°C
39%
18°C
39%
19°C
39%
20°C
40%
21°C
26%
22°C
39%
23°C
39%
24°C
39%
25°C
39%
26°C or higher
95%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Rynek otwarty: Sep 19, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Źródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuuRozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Źródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuuRozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...Current forecasts from multiple meteorological sources indicate a minimum temperature in Chengdu on September 21 likely near 20–22°C, driven by persistent cloud cover, light winds, and high humidity that limit radiative cooling overnight. This aligns with late-summer patterns in the Sichuan Basin, where average September lows hover around 19–21°C but recent model consensus shows slightly warmer conditions due to stable high pressure and minimal cold-air advection. Trader sentiment remains closely split between sub-17°C and 26°C+ outcomes because ensemble models still carry uncertainty in exact boundary-layer cooling rates and any late-day frontal influences. Fresh high-resolution runs from agencies like the China Meteorological Administration and global centers will refine these thresholds ahead of market resolution.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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