Recent ensemble forecasts from the Finnish Meteorological Institute and ECMWF place the August 29 minimum in Helsinki near 14–16°C, driven by southeasterly flow, increasing cloud cover, and a modest chance of light showers that limit nocturnal radiative cooling. Surface pressure gradients and dew-point spreads around 13–15°C further constrain how far temperatures can fall overnight. With outcomes clustered between 12–15°C commanding similar market-implied odds, traders are pricing residual model disagreement on exact cloud timing and boundary-layer mixing; a clearer, calmer night could push readings toward 11–12°C, while thicker low clouds or earlier precipitation would hold the minimum near 15–16°C. Updated runs through August 28 will clarify these variables ahead of resolution.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoLowest temperature in Helsinki on August 29?
Lowest temperature in Helsinki on August 29?
16°C 49%
17°C 49%
12°C 27%
13°C 27%
NOWE
NOWE
Aug 29, 2026
10°C or below
22%
11°C
14%
12°C
27%
13°C
27%
14°C
27%
15°C
26%
16°C
49%
17°C
49%
18°C
8%
19°C
2%
20°C or higher
18%
16°C 49%
17°C 49%
12°C 27%
13°C 27%
NOWE
NOWE
Aug 29, 2026
10°C or below
$16 Wol.
22%
11°C
$0 Wol.
14%
12°C
$0 Wol.
27%
13°C
$0 Wol.
27%
14°C
$0 Wol.
27%
15°C
$0 Wol.
26%
16°C
$5 Wol.
49%
17°C
$5 Wol.
49%
18°C
$5 Wol.
8%
19°C
$5 Wol.
2%
20°C or higher
$5 Wol.
18%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Helsinki Vantaa Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=efhk
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent ensemble forecasts from the Finnish Meteorological Institute and ECMWF place the August 29 minimum in Helsinki near 14–16°C, driven by southeasterly flow, increasing cloud cover, and a modest chance of light showers that limit nocturnal radiative cooling. Surface pressure gradients and dew-point spreads around 13–15°C further constrain how far temperatures can fall overnight. With outcomes clustered between 12–15°C commanding similar market-implied odds, traders are pricing residual model disagreement on exact cloud timing and boundary-layer mixing; a clearer, calmer night could push readings toward 11–12°C, while thicker low clouds or earlier precipitation would hold the minimum near 15–16°C. Updated runs through August 28 will clarify these variables ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Helsinki Vantaa Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=efhk
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=efhk
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Rynek otwarty: Aug 27, 2026, 12:31 AM ET
Wolumen
$41Data zakończenia
Aug 29, 2026Rynek otwarty
Aug 27, 2026, 12:31 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=efhkResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Helsinki Vantaa Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=efhk
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent ensemble forecasts from the Finnish Meteorological Institute and ECMWF place the August 29 minimum in Helsinki near 14–16°C, driven by southeasterly flow, increasing cloud cover, and a modest chance of light showers that limit nocturnal radiative cooling. Surface pressure gradients and dew-point spreads around 13–15°C further constrain how far temperatures can fall overnight. With outcomes clustered between 12–15°C commanding similar market-implied odds, traders are pricing residual model disagreement on exact cloud timing and boundary-layer mixing; a clearer, calmer night could push readings toward 11–12°C, while thicker low clouds or earlier precipitation would hold the minimum near 15–16°C. Updated runs through August 28 will clarify these variables ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Helsinki Vantaa Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=efhk
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=efhk
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Wolumen
$41Data zakończenia
Aug 29, 2026Rynek otwarty
Aug 27, 2026, 12:31 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=efhkResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent ensemble forecasts from the Finnish Meteorological Institute and ECMWF place the August 29 minimum in Helsinki near 14–16°C, driven by southeasterly flow, increasing cloud cover, and a modest chance of light showers that limit nocturnal radiative cooling. Surface pressure gradients and dew-point spreads around 13–15°C further constrain how far temperatures can fall overnight. With outcomes clustered between 12–15°C commanding similar market-implied odds, traders are pricing residual model disagreement on exact cloud timing and boundary-layer mixing; a clearer, calmer night could push readings toward 11–12°C, while thicker low clouds or earlier precipitation would hold the minimum near 15–16°C. Updated runs through August 28 will clarify these variables ahead of resolution.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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