Recent official forecasts from the Hong Kong Observatory and supporting models indicate a minimum temperature near 25–26°C for August 31, driven by a broad low-pressure trough over the northern South China Sea delivering persistent cloud cover, scattered showers, and thunderstorms. These conditions limit daytime heating and promote modest nocturnal cooling through evaporative effects and reduced solar insolation, consistent with climatological late-August minima around 26–27°C but tempered by elevated humidity levels above 75%. Shifting winds to easterly or northeasterly directions may introduce slightly cooler maritime air, while recent unsettled patterns have kept soil moisture high, further moderating extremes. Updated model runs and Observatory briefings in the next 48 hours represent key catalysts that could refine implied probabilities around the leading 25–27°C outcomes.