Recent Met Office and model guidance indicate an overnight minimum of 13–15°C for London on August 31 under a mild westerly flow, with partly cloudy skies and scattered showers limiting radiative cooling. This places the outcome near the long-term average low of 12.9°C while reflecting the warmer-than-normal late-summer air mass. Trader consensus around 14–15°C (combined ~67%) tracks this forecast consensus and the modest spread among ensemble members, whereas lower probabilities for 10°C or below reflect the unlikelihood of clear, calm conditions needed for stronger cooling. Updated model runs and the final 24-hour forecast window remain the key near-term drivers.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoLowest temperature in London on August 31?
Lowest temperature in London on August 31?
20°C or higher 57%
10°C or below 49%
13°C 48%
15°C 33%
NOWE
NOWE
Aug 31, 2026
10°C or below
49%
11°C
16%
12°C
21%
13°C
48%
14°C
25%
15°C
33%
16°C
28%
17°C
25%
18°C
2%
19°C
2%
20°C or higher
57%
20°C or higher 57%
10°C or below 49%
13°C 48%
15°C 33%
NOWE
NOWE
Aug 31, 2026
10°C or below
$0 Wol.
49%
11°C
$0 Wol.
16%
12°C
$0 Wol.
21%
13°C
$0 Wol.
48%
14°C
$0 Wol.
25%
15°C
$0 Wol.
33%
16°C
$0 Wol.
28%
17°C
$0 Wol.
25%
18°C
$0 Wol.
2%
19°C
$0 Wol.
2%
20°C or higher
$0 Wol.
57%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 31 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent Met Office and model guidance indicate an overnight minimum of 13–15°C for London on August 31 under a mild westerly flow, with partly cloudy skies and scattered showers limiting radiative cooling. This places the outcome near the long-term average low of 12.9°C while reflecting the warmer-than-normal late-summer air mass. Trader consensus around 14–15°C (combined ~67%) tracks this forecast consensus and the modest spread among ensemble members, whereas lower probabilities for 10°C or below reflect the unlikelihood of clear, calm conditions needed for stronger cooling. Updated model runs and the final 24-hour forecast window remain the key near-term drivers.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 31 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Rynek otwarty: Aug 29, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
Wolumen
$0Data zakończenia
Aug 31, 2026Rynek otwarty
Aug 29, 2026, 12:29 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglcRozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 31 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent Met Office and model guidance indicate an overnight minimum of 13–15°C for London on August 31 under a mild westerly flow, with partly cloudy skies and scattered showers limiting radiative cooling. This places the outcome near the long-term average low of 12.9°C while reflecting the warmer-than-normal late-summer air mass. Trader consensus around 14–15°C (combined ~67%) tracks this forecast consensus and the modest spread among ensemble members, whereas lower probabilities for 10°C or below reflect the unlikelihood of clear, calm conditions needed for stronger cooling. Updated model runs and the final 24-hour forecast window remain the key near-term drivers.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 31 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Wolumen
$0Data zakończenia
Aug 31, 2026Rynek otwarty
Aug 29, 2026, 12:29 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglcRozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...Recent Met Office and model guidance indicate an overnight minimum of 13–15°C for London on August 31 under a mild westerly flow, with partly cloudy skies and scattered showers limiting radiative cooling. This places the outcome near the long-term average low of 12.9°C while reflecting the warmer-than-normal late-summer air mass. Trader consensus around 14–15°C (combined ~67%) tracks this forecast consensus and the modest spread among ensemble members, whereas lower probabilities for 10°C or below reflect the unlikelihood of clear, calm conditions needed for stronger cooling. Updated model runs and the final 24-hour forecast window remain the key near-term drivers.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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