**Forecast consensus points to an overnight low near 68–70°F in Los Angeles on September 24, 2026, aligning with the market’s leading 68–69°F bin at 53% implied probability.** Multiple model runs (including GFS-based guidance) and agency outlooks show partly cloudy to mostly clear skies overnight, light winds, and moderate humidity that limit strong radiative cooling while preventing extreme warmth. This places the expected minimum in the upper 60s, consistent with recent above-average September conditions where daily lows have frequently held in the mid-to-upper 60s rather than the historical ~62–63°F average. The tight clustering around 68–69°F versus 59°F or below (44%) and 78°F or higher (43.5%) reflects residual model uncertainty in cloud cover, marine-layer influence, and exact wind patterns that could nudge the low a few degrees either way. Clearer skies and lighter winds favor the lower end of the range through enhanced cooling, while any increase in low clouds or onshore flow would support readings closer to 70°F. No major weather systems are expected to disrupt this pattern before the period resolves, keeping trader focus on the latest model updates and official National Weather Service guidance for the precise minimum.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoLowest temperature in Los Angeles on September 24?
Lowest temperature in Los Angeles on September 24?
78°F or higher 85%
68-69°F 53%
59°F or below 42%
60-61°F 37%
NOWE
NOWE
Sep 24, 2026
59°F or below
42%
60-61°F
37%
62-63°F
21%
64-65°F
21%
66-67°F
22%
68-69°F
53%
70-71°F
21%
72-73°F
19%
74-75°F
19%
76-77°F
37%
78°F or higher
85%
78°F or higher 85%
68-69°F 53%
59°F or below 42%
60-61°F 37%
NOWE
NOWE
Sep 24, 2026
59°F or below
$10 Wol.
42%
60-61°F
$10 Wol.
37%
62-63°F
$0 Wol.
21%
64-65°F
$0 Wol.
21%
66-67°F
$0 Wol.
22%
68-69°F
$54 Wol.
53%
70-71°F
$0 Wol.
21%
72-73°F
$0 Wol.
19%
74-75°F
$0 Wol.
19%
76-77°F
$10 Wol.
37%
78°F or higher
$10 Wol.
85%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Los Angeles International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 24 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klax
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Forecast consensus points to an overnight low near 68–70°F in Los Angeles on September 24, 2026, aligning with the market’s leading 68–69°F bin at 53% implied probability.** Multiple model runs (including GFS-based guidance) and agency outlooks show partly cloudy to mostly clear skies overnight, light winds, and moderate humidity that limit strong radiative cooling while preventing extreme warmth. This places the expected minimum in the upper 60s, consistent with recent above-average September conditions where daily lows have frequently held in the mid-to-upper 60s rather than the historical ~62–63°F average.
The tight clustering around 68–69°F versus 59°F or below (44%) and 78°F or higher (43.5%) reflects residual model uncertainty in cloud cover, marine-layer influence, and exact wind patterns that could nudge the low a few degrees either way. Clearer skies and lighter winds favor the lower end of the range through enhanced cooling, while any increase in low clouds or onshore flow would support readings closer to 70°F. No major weather systems are expected to disrupt this pattern before the period resolves, keeping trader focus on the latest model updates and official National Weather Service guidance for the precise minimum.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Los Angeles International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 24 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klax
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klax
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Rynek otwarty: Sep 22, 2026, 7:29 AM ET
Wolumen
$94Data zakończenia
Sep 24, 2026Rynek otwarty
Sep 22, 2026, 7:29 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klaxRozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Los Angeles International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 24 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klax
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Forecast consensus points to an overnight low near 68–70°F in Los Angeles on September 24, 2026, aligning with the market’s leading 68–69°F bin at 53% implied probability.** Multiple model runs (including GFS-based guidance) and agency outlooks show partly cloudy to mostly clear skies overnight, light winds, and moderate humidity that limit strong radiative cooling while preventing extreme warmth. This places the expected minimum in the upper 60s, consistent with recent above-average September conditions where daily lows have frequently held in the mid-to-upper 60s rather than the historical ~62–63°F average.
The tight clustering around 68–69°F versus 59°F or below (44%) and 78°F or higher (43.5%) reflects residual model uncertainty in cloud cover, marine-layer influence, and exact wind patterns that could nudge the low a few degrees either way. Clearer skies and lighter winds favor the lower end of the range through enhanced cooling, while any increase in low clouds or onshore flow would support readings closer to 70°F. No major weather systems are expected to disrupt this pattern before the period resolves, keeping trader focus on the latest model updates and official National Weather Service guidance for the precise minimum.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Los Angeles International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 24 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klax
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klax
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Wolumen
$94Data zakończenia
Sep 24, 2026Rynek otwarty
Sep 22, 2026, 7:29 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klaxRozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...**Forecast consensus points to an overnight low near 68–70°F in Los Angeles on September 24, 2026, aligning with the market’s leading 68–69°F bin at 53% implied probability.** Multiple model runs (including GFS-based guidance) and agency outlooks show partly cloudy to mostly clear skies overnight, light winds, and moderate humidity that limit strong radiative cooling while preventing extreme warmth. This places the expected minimum in the upper 60s, consistent with recent above-average September conditions where daily lows have frequently held in the mid-to-upper 60s rather than the historical ~62–63°F average. The tight clustering around 68–69°F versus 59°F or below (44%) and 78°F or higher (43.5%) reflects residual model uncertainty in cloud cover, marine-layer influence, and exact wind patterns that could nudge the low a few degrees either way. Clearer skies and lighter winds favor the lower end of the range through enhanced cooling, while any increase in low clouds or onshore flow would support readings closer to 70°F. No major weather systems are expected to disrupt this pattern before the period resolves, keeping trader focus on the latest model updates and official National Weather Service guidance for the precise minimum.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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