Current forecast models show mostly clear skies and light winds over Munich on September 15, favoring radiative cooling overnight that could push the minimum several degrees below the 10°C seasonal average low. However, model runs diverge on exact dew points, cloud cover timing, and any residual moisture from Monday’s rain, creating genuine uncertainty that explains the near-even market-implied odds between sub-5°C and 14°C-plus outcomes. Traders are weighting both the potential for strong nighttime cooling under high pressure and the risk of warmer advection or increased cloudiness keeping readings closer to 12–13°C. Official resolution will rely on the lowest hourly reading from the primary Munich station, with fresh model guidance expected before market close.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoLowest temperature in Munich on September 15?
Lowest temperature in Munich on September 15?
4°C or below 84%
14°C or higher 83%
13°C 39%
8°C 25%
NOWE
NOWE
Sep 15, 2026
4°C or below
84%
5°C
21%
6°C
21%
7°C
21%
8°C
25%
9°C
23%
10°C
21%
11°C
21%
12°C
21%
13°C
39%
14°C or higher
83%
4°C or below 84%
14°C or higher 83%
13°C 39%
8°C 25%
NOWE
NOWE
Sep 15, 2026
4°C or below
$10 Wol.
84%
5°C
$0 Wol.
21%
6°C
$0 Wol.
21%
7°C
$0 Wol.
21%
8°C
$0 Wol.
25%
9°C
$0 Wol.
23%
10°C
$0 Wol.
21%
11°C
$0 Wol.
21%
12°C
$0 Wol.
21%
13°C
$10 Wol.
39%
14°C or higher
$10 Wol.
83%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecast models show mostly clear skies and light winds over Munich on September 15, favoring radiative cooling overnight that could push the minimum several degrees below the 10°C seasonal average low. However, model runs diverge on exact dew points, cloud cover timing, and any residual moisture from Monday’s rain, creating genuine uncertainty that explains the near-even market-implied odds between sub-5°C and 14°C-plus outcomes. Traders are weighting both the potential for strong nighttime cooling under high pressure and the risk of warmer advection or increased cloudiness keeping readings closer to 12–13°C. Official resolution will rely on the lowest hourly reading from the primary Munich station, with fresh model guidance expected before market close.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Rynek otwarty: Sep 13, 2026, 1:30 PM ET
Wolumen
$30Data zakończenia
Sep 15, 2026Rynek otwarty
Sep 13, 2026, 1:30 PM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddmRozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecast models show mostly clear skies and light winds over Munich on September 15, favoring radiative cooling overnight that could push the minimum several degrees below the 10°C seasonal average low. However, model runs diverge on exact dew points, cloud cover timing, and any residual moisture from Monday’s rain, creating genuine uncertainty that explains the near-even market-implied odds between sub-5°C and 14°C-plus outcomes. Traders are weighting both the potential for strong nighttime cooling under high pressure and the risk of warmer advection or increased cloudiness keeping readings closer to 12–13°C. Official resolution will rely on the lowest hourly reading from the primary Munich station, with fresh model guidance expected before market close.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Wolumen
$30Data zakończenia
Sep 15, 2026Rynek otwarty
Sep 13, 2026, 1:30 PM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddmRozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...Current forecast models show mostly clear skies and light winds over Munich on September 15, favoring radiative cooling overnight that could push the minimum several degrees below the 10°C seasonal average low. However, model runs diverge on exact dew points, cloud cover timing, and any residual moisture from Monday’s rain, creating genuine uncertainty that explains the near-even market-implied odds between sub-5°C and 14°C-plus outcomes. Traders are weighting both the potential for strong nighttime cooling under high pressure and the risk of warmer advection or increased cloudiness keeping readings closer to 12–13°C. Official resolution will rely on the lowest hourly reading from the primary Munich station, with fresh model guidance expected before market close.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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