Current numerical weather prediction models, including GFS and ECMWF runs, indicate Munich's overnight low on September 13 will likely range from 13–15°C amid increasing cloud cover, light rain, and a moderating westerly flow that limits radiative cooling. This consensus aligns with September climatology near 10.5°C average lows yet accounts for the specific synoptic setup featuring a passing frontal boundary. Trader sentiment, reflected in elevated implied probabilities for 11°C or below, appears driven by model spread in boundary-layer moisture and potential for localized clearing that could allow slightly greater cooling than the central forecast. Updated model guidance and official DWD observations expected overnight will likely refine these market-implied odds.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoLowest temperature in Munich on September 13?
7°C or below 78%
11°C 26%
9°C 22%
10°C 22%
7°C or below
78%
8°C
12%
9°C
22%
10°C
22%
11°C
26%
12°C
<1%
13°C
<1%
14°C
<1%
15°C
<1%
16°C
<1%
17°C or higher
<1%
7°C or below 78%
11°C 26%
9°C 22%
10°C 22%
7°C or below
78%
8°C
12%
9°C
22%
10°C
22%
11°C
26%
12°C
<1%
13°C
<1%
14°C
<1%
15°C
<1%
16°C
<1%
17°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Rynek otwarty: Sep 11, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
Źródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddmRozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Źródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddmRozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...Current numerical weather prediction models, including GFS and ECMWF runs, indicate Munich's overnight low on September 13 will likely range from 13–15°C amid increasing cloud cover, light rain, and a moderating westerly flow that limits radiative cooling. This consensus aligns with September climatology near 10.5°C average lows yet accounts for the specific synoptic setup featuring a passing frontal boundary. Trader sentiment, reflected in elevated implied probabilities for 11°C or below, appears driven by model spread in boundary-layer moisture and potential for localized clearing that could allow slightly greater cooling than the central forecast. Updated model guidance and official DWD observations expected overnight will likely refine these market-implied odds.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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