Recent National Weather Service and model guidance for New York City points to overnight lows in the upper 60s to low 70s on August 28, driven by lingering humidity, partial cloud cover, and light west-to-northwest winds after daytime showers. These conditions limit radiational cooling compared to clearer skies, positioning 70–73°F bins as the strongest market-implied outcomes. Forecasters note modest uncertainty from variable cloud timing and urban heat island effects, consistent with the 37.5% and 26.5% probabilities assigned to the leading ranges. Historical late-August climatology for Central Park shows average lows near 67°F, so current expectations reflect a slightly warmer airmass. Updated model runs and evening observations will refine the exact minimum before resolution.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoLowest temperature in NYC on August 28?
Lowest temperature in NYC on August 28?
72-73°F 41%
70-71°F 27%
74-75°F 21%
76-77°F 6%
NOWE
NOWE
Aug 28, 2026
59°F or below
1%
60-61°F
<1%
62-63°F
1%
64-65°F
1%
66-67°F
4%
68-69°F
5%
70-71°F
27%
72-73°F
41%
74-75°F
21%
76-77°F
6%
78°F or higher
2%
72-73°F 41%
70-71°F 27%
74-75°F 21%
76-77°F 6%
NOWE
NOWE
Aug 28, 2026
59°F or below
$10 Wol.
1%
60-61°F
$80 Wol.
<1%
62-63°F
$20 Wol.
1%
64-65°F
$111 Wol.
1%
66-67°F
$169 Wol.
4%
68-69°F
$311 Wol.
5%
70-71°F
$215 Wol.
27%
72-73°F
$269 Wol.
41%
74-75°F
$262 Wol.
21%
76-77°F
$84 Wol.
6%
78°F or higher
$189 Wol.
2%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 28 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Weather Service and model guidance for New York City points to overnight lows in the upper 60s to low 70s on August 28, driven by lingering humidity, partial cloud cover, and light west-to-northwest winds after daytime showers. These conditions limit radiational cooling compared to clearer skies, positioning 70–73°F bins as the strongest market-implied outcomes. Forecasters note modest uncertainty from variable cloud timing and urban heat island effects, consistent with the 37.5% and 26.5% probabilities assigned to the leading ranges. Historical late-August climatology for Central Park shows average lows near 67°F, so current expectations reflect a slightly warmer airmass. Updated model runs and evening observations will refine the exact minimum before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 28 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Rynek otwarty: Aug 26, 2026, 9:29 PM ET
Wolumen
$1,722Data zakończenia
Aug 28, 2026Rynek otwarty
Aug 26, 2026, 9:29 PM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klgaResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 28 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Weather Service and model guidance for New York City points to overnight lows in the upper 60s to low 70s on August 28, driven by lingering humidity, partial cloud cover, and light west-to-northwest winds after daytime showers. These conditions limit radiational cooling compared to clearer skies, positioning 70–73°F bins as the strongest market-implied outcomes. Forecasters note modest uncertainty from variable cloud timing and urban heat island effects, consistent with the 37.5% and 26.5% probabilities assigned to the leading ranges. Historical late-August climatology for Central Park shows average lows near 67°F, so current expectations reflect a slightly warmer airmass. Updated model runs and evening observations will refine the exact minimum before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 28 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Wolumen
$1,722Data zakończenia
Aug 28, 2026Rynek otwarty
Aug 26, 2026, 9:29 PM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klgaResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent National Weather Service and model guidance for New York City points to overnight lows in the upper 60s to low 70s on August 28, driven by lingering humidity, partial cloud cover, and light west-to-northwest winds after daytime showers. These conditions limit radiational cooling compared to clearer skies, positioning 70–73°F bins as the strongest market-implied outcomes. Forecasters note modest uncertainty from variable cloud timing and urban heat island effects, consistent with the 37.5% and 26.5% probabilities assigned to the leading ranges. Historical late-August climatology for Central Park shows average lows near 67°F, so current expectations reflect a slightly warmer airmass. Updated model runs and evening observations will refine the exact minimum before resolution.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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