**Forecast models and official guidance from the Shanghai Meteorological Observatory currently point to a minimum temperature near 22°C on September 10, 2026, under light rain with northerly winds shifting northeast.** This consensus, supported by GFS and regional outputs showing overnight lows around 22–23°C amid moderate humidity and light precipitation, drives the market’s strong weighting toward 22°C. Recent northerly flow has moderated daytime heat while limiting radiational cooling, producing a typical early-autumn diurnal range consistent with historical September baselines. Traders appear to be pricing in limited upside or downside deviation from these model runs ahead of the overnight period, with only modest probability assigned to 21°C or 23°C scenarios that would require notable forecast shifts.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoLowest temperature in Shanghai on September 10?
Lowest temperature in Shanghai on September 10?
22°C 48%
23°C 26%
21°C 19%
24°C 4%
NOWE
NOWE
Sep 10, 2026
18°C or below
<1%
19°C
2%
20°C
9%
21°C
19%
22°C
48%
23°C
26%
24°C
4%
25°C
<1%
26°C
1%
27°C
<1%
28°C or higher
<1%
22°C 48%
23°C 26%
21°C 19%
24°C 4%
NOWE
NOWE
Sep 10, 2026
18°C or below
$175 Wol.
<1%
19°C
$478 Wol.
2%
20°C
$340 Wol.
9%
21°C
$1,233 Wol.
19%
22°C
$2,135 Wol.
48%
23°C
$2,682 Wol.
26%
24°C
$302 Wol.
4%
25°C
$678 Wol.
<1%
26°C
$20 Wol.
1%
27°C
$37 Wol.
<1%
28°C or higher
$151 Wol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Forecast models and official guidance from the Shanghai Meteorological Observatory currently point to a minimum temperature near 22°C on September 10, 2026, under light rain with northerly winds shifting northeast.** This consensus, supported by GFS and regional outputs showing overnight lows around 22–23°C amid moderate humidity and light precipitation, drives the market’s strong weighting toward 22°C. Recent northerly flow has moderated daytime heat while limiting radiational cooling, producing a typical early-autumn diurnal range consistent with historical September baselines. Traders appear to be pricing in limited upside or downside deviation from these model runs ahead of the overnight period, with only modest probability assigned to 21°C or 23°C scenarios that would require notable forecast shifts.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Rynek otwarty: Sep 8, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
Wolumen
$8,210Data zakończenia
Sep 10, 2026Rynek otwarty
Sep 8, 2026, 12:29 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspdRozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Forecast models and official guidance from the Shanghai Meteorological Observatory currently point to a minimum temperature near 22°C on September 10, 2026, under light rain with northerly winds shifting northeast.** This consensus, supported by GFS and regional outputs showing overnight lows around 22–23°C amid moderate humidity and light precipitation, drives the market’s strong weighting toward 22°C. Recent northerly flow has moderated daytime heat while limiting radiational cooling, producing a typical early-autumn diurnal range consistent with historical September baselines. Traders appear to be pricing in limited upside or downside deviation from these model runs ahead of the overnight period, with only modest probability assigned to 21°C or 23°C scenarios that would require notable forecast shifts.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Wolumen
$8,210Data zakończenia
Sep 10, 2026Rynek otwarty
Sep 8, 2026, 12:29 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspdRozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...**Forecast models and official guidance from the Shanghai Meteorological Observatory currently point to a minimum temperature near 22°C on September 10, 2026, under light rain with northerly winds shifting northeast.** This consensus, supported by GFS and regional outputs showing overnight lows around 22–23°C amid moderate humidity and light precipitation, drives the market’s strong weighting toward 22°C. Recent northerly flow has moderated daytime heat while limiting radiational cooling, producing a typical early-autumn diurnal range consistent with historical September baselines. Traders appear to be pricing in limited upside or downside deviation from these model runs ahead of the overnight period, with only modest probability assigned to 21°C or 23°C scenarios that would require notable forecast shifts.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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