Current MetService and international model consensus points to a minimum temperature of 7–9°C for Wellington on August 31, driven by northwesterly winds moderating overnight radiative cooling under partly cloudy skies. This aligns with late-August climatology, where average lows hover near 8°C, and recent August 2026 conditions have trended mildly above normal despite isolated colder nights earlier in the month. Stronger westerlies and any frontal timing introduce variability that could push the low a degree or two lower or higher. Market-implied odds favor milder outcomes above 10°C amid this uncertainty, with new forecast runs and observational data expected to refine probabilities ahead of resolution.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoLowest temperature in Wellington on August 31?
Lowest temperature in Wellington on August 31?
15°C or higher 92%
5°C or below 58%
8°C 49%
9°C 49%
NOWE
NOWE
Aug 31, 2026
5°C or below
58%
6°C
17%
7°C
20%
8°C
49%
9°C
49%
10°C
27%
11°C
27%
12°C
25%
13°C
49%
14°C
2%
15°C or higher
92%
15°C or higher 92%
5°C or below 58%
8°C 49%
9°C 49%
NOWE
NOWE
Aug 31, 2026
5°C or below
$0 Wol.
58%
6°C
$0 Wol.
17%
7°C
$0 Wol.
20%
8°C
$0 Wol.
49%
9°C
$0 Wol.
49%
10°C
$0 Wol.
27%
11°C
$0 Wol.
27%
12°C
$0 Wol.
25%
13°C
$0 Wol.
49%
14°C
$0 Wol.
2%
15°C or higher
$0 Wol.
92%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 31 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current MetService and international model consensus points to a minimum temperature of 7–9°C for Wellington on August 31, driven by northwesterly winds moderating overnight radiative cooling under partly cloudy skies. This aligns with late-August climatology, where average lows hover near 8°C, and recent August 2026 conditions have trended mildly above normal despite isolated colder nights earlier in the month. Stronger westerlies and any frontal timing introduce variability that could push the low a degree or two lower or higher. Market-implied odds favor milder outcomes above 10°C amid this uncertainty, with new forecast runs and observational data expected to refine probabilities ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 31 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Rynek otwarty: Aug 29, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
Wolumen
$0Data zakończenia
Aug 31, 2026Rynek otwarty
Aug 29, 2026, 12:29 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwnRozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 31 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current MetService and international model consensus points to a minimum temperature of 7–9°C for Wellington on August 31, driven by northwesterly winds moderating overnight radiative cooling under partly cloudy skies. This aligns with late-August climatology, where average lows hover near 8°C, and recent August 2026 conditions have trended mildly above normal despite isolated colder nights earlier in the month. Stronger westerlies and any frontal timing introduce variability that could push the low a degree or two lower or higher. Market-implied odds favor milder outcomes above 10°C amid this uncertainty, with new forecast runs and observational data expected to refine probabilities ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 31 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Wolumen
$0Data zakończenia
Aug 31, 2026Rynek otwarty
Aug 29, 2026, 12:29 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwnRozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...Current MetService and international model consensus points to a minimum temperature of 7–9°C for Wellington on August 31, driven by northwesterly winds moderating overnight radiative cooling under partly cloudy skies. This aligns with late-August climatology, where average lows hover near 8°C, and recent August 2026 conditions have trended mildly above normal despite isolated colder nights earlier in the month. Stronger westerlies and any frontal timing introduce variability that could push the low a degree or two lower or higher. Market-implied odds favor milder outcomes above 10°C amid this uncertainty, with new forecast runs and observational data expected to refine probabilities ahead of resolution.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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