Morena and its allies maintain a commanding lead in Nayarit voter preferences ahead of the 2027 gubernatorial election, reflected in trader consensus favoring Héctor Santana García and Jasmine Bugarín Rodríguez. Recent polls show Morena identification above 50 percent, with Santana frequently topping internal surveys as mayor of Bahía de Banderas while Bugarín consolidates support within the Partido Verde. Geraldine Ponce Méndez trails in most head-to-heads despite her record as Tepic mayor. The current governor’s September 2026 report on economic growth above 5 percent and homicide reductions has reinforced the ruling coalition’s position without shifting internal rankings. Nomination timelines and any coalition negotiations remain the main variables that could separate the top contenders before formal campaigning begins.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoJasmine Bugarín Rodríguez 26.9%
Héctor Santana García 26.8%
Geraldine Ponce Méndez 14.4%
Hilaria Domínguez Arvizu 10.3%
$30,836 Wol.
$30,836 Wol.

Jasmine Bugarín Rodríguez
27%

Héctor Santana García
27%

Geraldine Ponce Méndez
14%

Hilaria Domínguez Arvizu
10%

Manuel Cota Jiménez
4%

Ivideliza Reyes Hernández
4%

Ivonne Sabrina Díaz
3%

Pavel Jarero Velázquez
3%

Gustavo Ayón Aguirre
1%

Luis Zamora Carrillo
1%

Jorge Armando Ortiz Rodríguez
1%

Citlalli Rubí Huerta
1%

Gloria Núñez Sánchez
<1%

Nadia Ramírez López
<1%

José Ramón Cambero Pérez
<1%

Paola Vargas Arciniega
<1%

José Antonio Barajas López
<1%

María Elizabeth López Blanco
<1%

Ignacio Flores Medina
<1%

Julieta Mejía Ibáñez
<1%

Jesús Armando Vélez Macías
<1%

Enrique Díaz López
<1%
Jasmine Bugarín Rodríguez 26.9%
Héctor Santana García 26.8%
Geraldine Ponce Méndez 14.4%
Hilaria Domínguez Arvizu 10.3%
$30,836 Wol.
$30,836 Wol.

Jasmine Bugarín Rodríguez
27%

Héctor Santana García
27%

Geraldine Ponce Méndez
14%

Hilaria Domínguez Arvizu
10%

Manuel Cota Jiménez
4%

Ivideliza Reyes Hernández
4%

Ivonne Sabrina Díaz
3%

Pavel Jarero Velázquez
3%

Gustavo Ayón Aguirre
1%

Luis Zamora Carrillo
1%

Jorge Armando Ortiz Rodríguez
1%

Citlalli Rubí Huerta
1%

Gloria Núñez Sánchez
<1%

Nadia Ramírez López
<1%

José Ramón Cambero Pérez
<1%

Paola Vargas Arciniega
<1%

José Antonio Barajas López
<1%

María Elizabeth López Blanco
<1%

Ignacio Flores Medina
<1%

Julieta Mejía Ibáñez
<1%

Jesús Armando Vélez Macías
<1%

Enrique Díaz López
<1%
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the 2027 Nayarit gubernatorial elections. Any interim or caretaker Governor will not qualify.
If the results are not known definitively by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results as reported by government sources of Nayarit and Mexico, including the Electoral Institute of Nayarit and the National Electoral Institute of Mexico.
Rynek otwarty: Aug 5, 2026, 6:59 AM ET
Rozstrzygający
0x69c47de9d...This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the 2027 Nayarit gubernatorial elections. Any interim or caretaker Governor will not qualify.
If the results are not known definitively by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results as reported by government sources of Nayarit and Mexico, including the Electoral Institute of Nayarit and the National Electoral Institute of Mexico.
Rozstrzygający
0x69c47de9d...Morena and its allies maintain a commanding lead in Nayarit voter preferences ahead of the 2027 gubernatorial election, reflected in trader consensus favoring Héctor Santana García and Jasmine Bugarín Rodríguez. Recent polls show Morena identification above 50 percent, with Santana frequently topping internal surveys as mayor of Bahía de Banderas while Bugarín consolidates support within the Partido Verde. Geraldine Ponce Méndez trails in most head-to-heads despite her record as Tepic mayor. The current governor’s September 2026 report on economic growth above 5 percent and homicide reductions has reinforced the ruling coalition’s position without shifting internal rankings. Nomination timelines and any coalition negotiations remain the main variables that could separate the top contenders before formal campaigning begins.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano



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