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Deficit predictions & odds

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US Trade Deficit in 2026?

US Trade Deficit in 2026?

17%

1T–1.1T

$20.0K Vol.

$1.0K Liq.

Ends in 10 months

Will Trump reduce the deficit before 2027?

Will Trump reduce the deficit before 2027?

20%

$822 Vol.

$545 Liq.

Ends in 8 months

Will there be a reverse sweep in the BLAST Rivals Fort Worth 2026 grand final?

Will there be a reverse sweep in the BLAST Rivals Fort Worth 2026 grand final?

50%

$0 Vol.

$10 Liq.

Ends in 4 days

MegaETH airdrop by...?

MegaETH airdrop by...?

72%

June 30, 2026

$2M Vol.

$9.4K Liq.

115

Ends in 2 months

Hyperliquid airdrop by ....?

Hyperliquid airdrop by ....?

67%

December 31, 2027

$464K Vol.

$2.6K Liq.

32

What will Bitcoin outperform in April?

What will Bitcoin outperform in April?

100%

Silver

$36.5K Vol.

$955 Liq.

Ends in about 15 hours

What price will Ethena hit in April?

What price will Ethena hit in April?

2%

↑ 0.16

$12.3K Vol.

$10.2K Liq.

Ends in 2 days

What price will Pump.fun hit in 2026?

What price will Pump.fun hit in 2026?

62%

↓ 0.0014

$106K Vol.

$5.2K Liq.

5

Ends in 8 months

What will Gold (XAUUSD) hit in April 2026?

What will Gold (XAUUSD) hit in April 2026?

47%

↓ $4,500

$220K Vol.

$48.6K Liq.

Ends in 2 days

What will Natural Gas (NG) hit in May 2026?

What will Natural Gas (NG) hit in May 2026?

57%

↑ $3.00

$1.7K Vol.

$90 Liq.

Ends in about 1 month

What floor price will Pudgy Penguins hit before 2027?

What floor price will Pudgy Penguins hit before 2027?

25%

↑ 10 ETH

$3.5K Vol.

$617 Liq.

5

Ends in 8 months

Will JD Vance visit Pakistan by...?

Will JD Vance visit Pakistan by...?

4%

May 4

$100K Vol.

$24.4K Liq.

10

What price will edgeX hit in 2026?

What price will edgeX hit in 2026?

66%

↓ $0.60

$1.4K Vol.

$784 Liq.

3

Ends in 8 months

What price will Lighter hit in 2026?

What price will Lighter hit in 2026?

19%

↑ $3

$630K Vol.

$34.3K Liq.

Ends in 8 months

MegaETH market cap (FDV) one day after launch?

MegaETH market cap (FDV) one day after launch?

98%

>$600M

$21M Vol.

$831K today

$897K Liq.

295

Ends in 2 months

Peak US National Debt before 2027?

Peak US National Debt before 2027?

91%

$40 trillion

$10.1K Vol.

$11.9K Liq.

Ends in 8 months

What will Natural Gas (NG) hit in April 2026?

What will Natural Gas (NG) hit in April 2026?

4%

↓ $2.40

$357K Vol.

$20.7K Liq.

3

Ends in 2 days

Amazon 2026 capex above ___?

Amazon 2026 capex above ___?

94%

$170 billion

$77 Vol.

$61 Liq.

Ends in about 1 year

Fed decisions (Mar-Jun)

Fed decisions (Mar-Jun)

90%

Pause–Pause–Pause

$988K Vol.

$43.9K Liq.

Ends in about 2 months

Fed decisions (Jan-Apr)

Fed decisions (Jan-Apr)

100%

Pause–Pause–Pause

$685K Vol.

$51.4K Liq.

Frequently Asked Questions

Polymarket is the world’s largest prediction market, where you can stay informed and profit from your knowledge by trading on things related to breaking news, politics, sports, elections, crypto, finance, tech, culture, including topics like Deficit.

Polymarket currently hosts 104 active markets for Deficit that lets you track or trade on predictions like “US Trade Deficit in 2026?”. Whether you are tracking widely debated events or niche outcomes, the platform aggregates real-time odds based on over $27.1M in trading volume, providing a comprehensive view of fan and investor sentiment.

Each polymarket is a yes/no question, like “Will there be a reverse sweep in the BLAST Rivals Fort Worth 2026 grand final?”. You buy shares in “yes” or “no” outcomes. Prices reflect crowd-sourced odds and probabilities. For example, if yes is at 30 cents, that’s a 30% chance. Markets resolve based on official results. For multi-outcome events, like “MegaETH market cap (FDV) one day after launch? ,” you simply trade on the specific outcome you think will win.

As of today, the most active market is “MegaETH market cap (FDV) one day after launch? ,” where the crowd is currently assigning a 98% chance to >$600M. These odds update in real-time as new information emerges and users trade, offering a dynamic snapshot of what the market believes will happen compared to traditional bookmaker odds.

It cuts through the noise. Unlike polls or punditry, Polymarket shows you real-time odds on Deficit predictions backed by financial conviction that are often faster and more accurate than experts or surveys. You get an unbiased view of what thousands of traders think will actually happen, often more accurate than polls. Plus, you can trade shares and potentially profit if your predictions are spot on.