Iran Regime predictions & odds

Geopolitics·Iran

Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?

$26M Vol.

$77.9K today

$618K Liq.

Ends in 4 months

$26M Vol.

$77.9K today

$618K Liq.

Ends in 4 months

Geopolitics·Ayatollah

Iran leadership change by...?

$25M Vol.

$813K Liq.

1,089

Ends in 10 months

26%

June 30, 2027

$25M Vol.

$813K Liq.

1,089

Ends in 10 months

Geopolitics·Iran

Will the Iranian regime fall by September 30?

$2M Vol.

$305K Liq.

Ends in 13 days

<1%

$2M Vol.

$305K Liq.

Ends in 13 days

Geopolitics·Iran

Iran coup attempt by...?

$2M Vol.

$34.3K Liq.

Ends in 4 months

$2M Vol.

$34.3K Liq.

Ends in 4 months

Geopolitics·Iran

Will Reza Pahlavi lead Iran in 2026?

$12M Vol.

$104K Liq.

Ends in 4 months

$12M Vol.

$104K Liq.

Ends in 4 months

World·Parlays

Nothing Ever Happens: 2026

$792K Vol.

$37.4K Liq.

Ends in 3 months

82%

$792K Vol.

$37.4K Liq.

Ends in 3 months

Geopolitics·Iran

US recognizes Reza Pahlavi as leader of Iran in 2026?

$635K Vol.

$25.4K Liq.

Ends in 3 months

$635K Vol.

$25.4K Liq.

Ends in 3 months

Geopolitics·Iran

Will Iran hold a presidential election by...?

$767K Vol.

$10.7K Liq.

Ends in 4 months

$767K Vol.

$10.7K Liq.

Ends in 4 months

Geopolitics·Iran

Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by...?

$73M Vol.

$61.5K today

$297K Liq.

518

Ends in 4 months

December 31

$73M Vol.

$61.5K today

$297K Liq.

518

Ends in 4 months

Geopolitics·Iran

Farsi Island no longer under Iranian control by...?

$198K Vol.

$46.4K Liq.

Ends in 13 days

$198K Vol.

$46.4K Liq.

Ends in 13 days

Geopolitics·Iran

Mojtaba Khamenei public appearance by...?

$7M Vol.

$123K Liq.

407

Ends in 4 months

20%

December 31

$7M Vol.

$123K Liq.

407

Ends in 4 months

Geopolitics·Iran

Masoud Pezeshkian out by...?

$870K Vol.

$16.5K Liq.

Ends in 4 months

11%

$870K Vol.

$16.5K Liq.

Ends in 4 months

Geopolitics·Iran

Greater Tunb Island no longer under Iranian control by...?

$55.0K Vol.

$16.3K Liq.

Ends in 13 days

$55.0K Vol.

$16.3K Liq.

Ends in 13 days

Geopolitics·Iran

Hengam Island no longer under Iranian control by...?

$208K Vol.

$18.1K Liq.

Ends in 13 days

<1%

$208K Vol.

$18.1K Liq.

Ends in 13 days

Geopolitics·Iran

Will Iran legalize gay marriage?

$79.2K Vol.

$56.4K Liq.

Ends in 3 months

$79.2K Vol.

$56.4K Liq.

Ends in 3 months

Geopolitics·Iran

IAEA visits Isfahan, Fordow, or Natanz nuclear site by...?

$377K Vol.

$26.1K Liq.

Ends in 4 months

14%

December 31

$377K Vol.

$26.1K Liq.

Ends in 4 months

Geopolitics·Iran

Hormuz Island no longer under Iranian control by...?

$71.1K Vol.

$39.2K Liq.

Ends in 13 days

<1%

$71.1K Vol.

$39.2K Liq.

Ends in 13 days

Geopolitics·Iran

Farsi, Hengam, Hormuz or Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by...?

$149K Vol.

$64.7K Liq.

Ends in 13 days

$149K Vol.

$64.7K Liq.

Ends in 13 days

Geopolitics·Iran

Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by...?

$22M Vol.

$121K Liq.

429

Ends in 4 months

$22M Vol.

$121K Liq.

429

Ends in 4 months

Geopolitics·Iran

What will be in a US-Iran deal in 2026?

$897K Vol.

$203K Liq.

Ends in 4 months

14%

Iran Reconstruction Funding

$897K Vol.

$203K Liq.

Ends in 4 months

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Event Status

Frequently Asked Questions

Polymarket is the world’s largest prediction market, where you can stay informed and profit from your knowledge by trading on things related to breaking news, politics, sports, elections, crypto, finance, tech, culture, including topics like Iran Regime.

Polymarket currently hosts 500 active markets for Iran Regime that lets you track or trade on predictions like “Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?”. Whether you are tracking widely debated events or niche outcomes, the platform aggregates real-time odds based on over $175.4M in trading volume, providing a comprehensive view of fan and investor sentiment.

Each polymarket is a yes/no question, like “Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by...?”. You buy shares in “yes” or “no” outcomes. Prices reflect crowd-sourced odds and probabilities. For example, if yes is at 30 cents, that’s a 30% chance. Markets resolve based on official results. For multi-outcome events, like “Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by...?,” you simply trade on the specific outcome you think will win.

As of today, the most active market is “Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by...?,” where the crowd is currently assigning a 7% chance to December 31. These odds update in real-time as new information emerges and users trade, offering a dynamic snapshot of what the market believes will happen compared to traditional bookmaker odds.

It cuts through the noise. Unlike polls or punditry, Polymarket shows you real-time odds on Iran Regime predictions backed by financial conviction that are often faster and more accurate than experts or surveys. You get an unbiased view of what thousands of traders think will actually happen, often more accurate than polls. Plus, you can trade shares and potentially profit if your predictions are spot on.

Polymarket is accurate more than 94% of the time an entire month before an outcome is definitively known. Prediction markets aggregate wisdom from informed users, often outperforming experts. For more context, view these stats on Polymarket’s accuracy.

Yes. You can treat this page as a live data source and watch how the odds for Iran Regime shift in real-time. It’s a free way to track market sentiment on major outcomes like “Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by...?” without ever needing to place a trade.

Sign up and fund your account with crypto, credit/debit card, or bank transfer. Browse the Iran Regime prediction markets, and when you’re ready you can buy shares in your picks.

Market resolution relies on trusted or official data sources. For complete clarity, you can check the “Rules” section on any individual market page like “Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?,” to see the exact criteria and sources used to determine the winner.

Frequently Asked Questions

Sign up and fund your account with crypto, credit/debit card, or bank transfer. Browse the Iran Regime prediction markets, and when you’re ready you can buy shares in your picks.

Iran Regime predictions & odds

Frequently Asked Questions

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What types of Iran Regime prediction markets can I trade on Polymarket?

How do Iran Regime markets work on Polymarket?

What is the current top Iran Regime prediction?

Why use Polymarket for Iran Regime predictions?

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Can I track Iran Regime predictions without trading?

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Frequently Asked Questions

What is Polymarket?

What types of Iran Regime prediction markets can I trade on Polymarket?

How do Iran Regime markets work on Polymarket?

What is the current top Iran Regime prediction?

Why use Polymarket for Iran Regime predictions?

How accurate are Polymarket’s Iran Regime odds?

Can I track Iran Regime predictions without trading?

How do I get started with Iran Regime markets on Polymarket?

How are markets resolved?

Iran Regime predictions & odds