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Política·Eleições Mundiais

Vencedor da eleição da Assembleia Legislativa de Assam

Market icon
Política·Eleições Mundiais

Vencedor da eleição da Assembleia Legislativa de Assam

BJP 95.6%

INC 2.7%

AITC <1%

CPI(M) <1%

Polymarket

$61,257 Vol.

BJP 95.6%

INC 2.7%

AITC <1%

CPI(M) <1%

Polymarket

$61,257 Vol.

O Partido Bharatiya Janata (BJP) vencerá com o maior número de assentos na eleição da Assembleia Legislativa de Assam de 2026? icon

BJP

$11,802 Vol.

96%

O Congresso Nacional Indiano (INC) vencerá com o maior número de assentos na eleição da Assembleia Legislativa de Assam de 2026? icon

INC

$7,409 Vol.

3%

O Congresso Trinamool de Toda a Índia (AITC) ganhará mais cadeiras na eleição da Assembleia Legislativa de Assam de 2026? icon

AITC

$4,519 Vol.

<1%

O Partido Comunista da Índia (Marxista) (CPI(M)) ganhará mais cadeiras na eleição da Assembleia Legislativa de Assam de 2026? icon

CPI(M)

$4,847 Vol.

<1%

O Partido do Congresso Nacionalista (NCP) ganhará mais assentos na eleição para a Assembleia Legislativa de Assam em 2026? icon

NCP

$4,222 Vol.

<1%

A Frente Democrática Unida de Toda a Índia (AIUDF) ganhará mais assentos na eleição da Assembleia Legislativa de Assam em 2026? icon

AIUDF

$4,933 Vol.

<1%

O Bodoland People’s Front (BPF) ganhará a maioria das cadeiras na eleição da Assembleia Legislativa de Assam em 2026? icon

BPF

$4,474 Vol.

<1%

O Partido Comunista da Índia (CPI) vencerá a maioria dos assentos na eleição da Assembleia Legislativa de Assam de 2026? icon

CPI

$9,171 Vol.

<1%

O Partido Popular Nacional (NPEP) vencerá com o maior número de assentos nas eleições para a Assembleia Legislativa de Assam de 2026? icon

NPEP

$5,221 Vol.

<1%

O Asom Gana Parishad (AGP) vencerá a maioria dos assentos na eleição da Assembleia Legislativa de Assam de 2026? icon

AGP

$4,659 Vol.

<1%

Legislative Assembly elections are to be scheduled to be held in Assam, India, in March–May 2026. This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the next Assam Legislative Assembly election. If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order. This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the Assam Legislative Assembly. This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Indian government, specifically the Election Commission of India (ECI) (eci.gov.in). If there are multiple reports, this market will resolve based on the one that includes the most Assembly Constituencies (AC).Polymarket traders overwhelmingly back the Bharatiya Janata Party (BJP) at 95.7% implied probability to win the Assam Legislative Assembly election, reflecting consistent pre-poll surveys like Matrize (NDA 96-98 seats), Chanakya (83-90 seats), and Vote Vibe (82-92 seats) that project a landslide for the incumbent National Democratic Alliance (NDA). High voter turnout of 85% on April 9, Chief Minister Himanta Biswa Sarma's popularity on development and welfare schemes such as Orunodoi, and opposition disunity in the Asom Sonmilito Morcha (led by Congress's Gaurav Gogoi) have solidified this commanding position since late March polls. With counting scheduled for May 4, realistic challenges include vote fragmentation or EVM discrepancies, though historical incumbency advantages and NDA's organizational strength make an upset unlikely.

Legislative Assembly elections are to be scheduled to be held in Assam, India, in March–May 2026.

This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the next Assam Legislative Assembly election.

If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.

This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the Assam Legislative Assembly.

This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Indian government, specifically the Election Commission of India (ECI) (eci.gov.in). If there are multiple reports, this market will resolve based on the one that includes the most Assembly Constituencies (AC).
Volume
$61,257
Data de Término
9 abr 2026
Mercado Aberto
Dec 23, 2025, 3:20 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
Legislative Assembly elections are to be scheduled to be held in Assam, India, in March–May 2026. This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the next Assam Legislative Assembly election. If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order. This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the Assam Legislative Assembly. This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Indian government, specifically the Election Commission of India (ECI) (eci.gov.in). If there are multiple reports, this market will resolve based on the one that includes the most Assembly Constituencies (AC).
Legislative Assembly elections are to be scheduled to be held in Assam, India, in March–May 2026. This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the next Assam Legislative Assembly election. If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order. This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the Assam Legislative Assembly. This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Indian government, specifically the Election Commission of India (ECI) (eci.gov.in). If there are multiple reports, this market will resolve based on the one that includes the most Assembly Constituencies (AC).Polymarket traders overwhelmingly back the Bharatiya Janata Party (BJP) at 95.7% implied probability to win the Assam Legislative Assembly election, reflecting consistent pre-poll surveys like Matrize (NDA 96-98 seats), Chanakya (83-90 seats), and Vote Vibe (82-92 seats) that project a landslide for the incumbent National Democratic Alliance (NDA). High voter turnout of 85% on April 9, Chief Minister Himanta Biswa Sarma's popularity on development and welfare schemes such as Orunodoi, and opposition disunity in the Asom Sonmilito Morcha (led by Congress's Gaurav Gogoi) have solidified this commanding position since late March polls. With counting scheduled for May 4, realistic challenges include vote fragmentation or EVM discrepancies, though historical incumbency advantages and NDA's organizational strength make an upset unlikely.

Legislative Assembly elections are to be scheduled to be held in Assam, India, in March–May 2026.

This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the next Assam Legislative Assembly election.

If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.

This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the Assam Legislative Assembly.

This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Indian government, specifically the Election Commission of India (ECI) (eci.gov.in). If there are multiple reports, this market will resolve based on the one that includes the most Assembly Constituencies (AC).
Volume
$61,257
Data de Término
9 abr 2026
Mercado Aberto
Dec 23, 2025, 3:20 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
Legislative Assembly elections are to be scheduled to be held in Assam, India, in March–May 2026. This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the next Assam Legislative Assembly election. If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order. This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the Assam Legislative Assembly. This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Indian government, specifically the Election Commission of India (ECI) (eci.gov.in). If there are multiple reports, this market will resolve based on the one that includes the most Assembly Constituencies (AC).

Cuidado com os links externos.

Frequently Asked Questions

"Vencedor da eleição da Assembleia Legislativa de Assam" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 10 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "BJP" at 96%, followed by "INC" at 3%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 96¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 96% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Vencedor da eleição da Assembleia Legislativa de Assam" has generated $61.3K in total trading volume since the market launched on Dec 23, 2025. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Vencedor da eleição da Assembleia Legislativa de Assam," browse the 10 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Vencedor da eleição da Assembleia Legislativa de Assam" is "BJP" at 96%, meaning the market assigns a 96% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "INC" at 3%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Vencedor da eleição da Assembleia Legislativa de Assam" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.