California’s 26th congressional district maintains a solid Democratic lean, reflected in nonpartisan ratings from Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, and Sabato’s Crystal Ball that classify the seat as Solid or Safe Democratic ahead of the November 2026 general election. The open race, triggered by incumbent Julia Brownley’s retirement, features a June 2 nonpartisan primary where state Assemblymember Jacqui Irwin holds overwhelming trader support as the likely Democratic nominee. Ventura County demographics, including suburban and coastal communities with consistent Democratic performance in recent cycles, underpin the market’s 92.5% consensus for the Democratic Party. A Republican victory would require an unusually strong national midterm environment or significant local shifts not currently evident in polling or structural factors.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoVencedor da eleição da casa CA-26
Vencedor da eleição da casa CA-26
$27,649 Vol.
$27,649 Vol.
3 nov 2026
Partido Democrata
93%
Partido Republicano
6%
$27,649 Vol.
$27,649 Vol.
3 nov 2026
Partido Democrata
$14,061 Vol.
93%
Partido Republicano
$13,588 Vol.
6%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-26 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).California’s 26th congressional district maintains a solid Democratic lean, reflected in nonpartisan ratings from Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, and Sabato’s Crystal Ball that classify the seat as Solid or Safe Democratic ahead of the November 2026 general election. The open race, triggered by incumbent Julia Brownley’s retirement, features a June 2 nonpartisan primary where state Assemblymember Jacqui Irwin holds overwhelming trader support as the likely Democratic nominee. Ventura County demographics, including suburban and coastal communities with consistent Democratic performance in recent cycles, underpin the market’s 92.5% consensus for the Democratic Party. A Republican victory would require an unusually strong national midterm environment or significant local shifts not currently evident in polling or structural factors.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-26 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Mercado Aberto: Jan 28, 2026, 12:18 AM ET
Volume
$27,649Data de Término
3 nov 2026Mercado Aberto
Jan 28, 2026, 12:18 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-26 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).California’s 26th congressional district maintains a solid Democratic lean, reflected in nonpartisan ratings from Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, and Sabato’s Crystal Ball that classify the seat as Solid or Safe Democratic ahead of the November 2026 general election. The open race, triggered by incumbent Julia Brownley’s retirement, features a June 2 nonpartisan primary where state Assemblymember Jacqui Irwin holds overwhelming trader support as the likely Democratic nominee. Ventura County demographics, including suburban and coastal communities with consistent Democratic performance in recent cycles, underpin the market’s 92.5% consensus for the Democratic Party. A Republican victory would require an unusually strong national midterm environment or significant local shifts not currently evident in polling or structural factors.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-26 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volume
$27,649Data de Término
3 nov 2026Mercado Aberto
Jan 28, 2026, 12:18 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...California’s 26th congressional district maintains a solid Democratic lean, reflected in nonpartisan ratings from Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, and Sabato’s Crystal Ball that classify the seat as Solid or Safe Democratic ahead of the November 2026 general election. The open race, triggered by incumbent Julia Brownley’s retirement, features a June 2 nonpartisan primary where state Assemblymember Jacqui Irwin holds overwhelming trader support as the likely Democratic nominee. Ventura County demographics, including suburban and coastal communities with consistent Democratic performance in recent cycles, underpin the market’s 92.5% consensus for the Democratic Party. A Republican victory would require an unusually strong national midterm environment or significant local shifts not currently evident in polling or structural factors.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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