Trader consensus on Polymarket implies a 68% probability that the CDC will not issue any Level 3 Travel Health Notice—recommending travelers "reconsider nonessential travel" due to high risk with limited precautions—by December 31, 2026, reflecting the agency's conservative use of this highest alert short of Level 4. Currently, no Level 3 notices exist, despite surging U.S. measles cases exceeding 1,800 as of late April 2026 amid kindergarten vaccination rates dropping to 92.5% and warnings of summer travel spikes; the global measles notice remains Level 1, prioritizing MMR vaccination efficacy. Level 2 alerts persist for polio, meningococcal disease, and chikungunya outbreaks, while H5N1 bird flu surveillance shows no unusual human transmission signals. Escalation would require novel threats with poor mitigation options; monitor CDC updates and epidemiological data releases.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoCDC emite aviso de Nível 3 até 31 de dezembro?
CDC emite aviso de Nível 3 até 31 de dezembro?
Sim
$116,081 Vol.
$116,081 Vol.
Sim
$116,081 Vol.
$116,081 Vol.
A Level 3 notice listed for any amount of time during this market’s timeframe will suffice for a "Yes" resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the CDC’s official Travel Health Notices page (https://wwwnc.cdc.gov/travel/notices); however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Mercado Aberto: Jan 19, 2026, 3:15 PM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...A Level 3 notice listed for any amount of time during this market’s timeframe will suffice for a "Yes" resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the CDC’s official Travel Health Notices page (https://wwwnc.cdc.gov/travel/notices); however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Resolver
0x65070BE91...Trader consensus on Polymarket implies a 68% probability that the CDC will not issue any Level 3 Travel Health Notice—recommending travelers "reconsider nonessential travel" due to high risk with limited precautions—by December 31, 2026, reflecting the agency's conservative use of this highest alert short of Level 4. Currently, no Level 3 notices exist, despite surging U.S. measles cases exceeding 1,800 as of late April 2026 amid kindergarten vaccination rates dropping to 92.5% and warnings of summer travel spikes; the global measles notice remains Level 1, prioritizing MMR vaccination efficacy. Level 2 alerts persist for polio, meningococcal disease, and chikungunya outbreaks, while H5N1 bird flu surveillance shows no unusual human transmission signals. Escalation would require novel threats with poor mitigation options; monitor CDC updates and epidemiological data releases.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
Cuidado com os links externos.
Cuidado com os links externos.
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