Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects high uncertainty in short-range forecasts for Amsterdam's highest temperature on April 17, with KNMI projecting a 17°C maximum under partly sunny conditions, low 20% precipitation risk, and light westerly winds moderating warmth. Ensemble spreads from ECMWF and GFS models show 3–5°C variability, favoring 18–19°C (21.5–21.0% implied odds) due to a building high-pressure ridge following the Netherlands' first 20°C day on April 8, but northerly airflow or increased cloud cover could drop readings to 12°C or below (20.0%). Outcomes at 20–22°C+ hinge on sustained clear skies and solar heating; new model runs expected April 16 will likely sharpen differentiation amid typical spring volatility.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoHighest temperature in Amsterdam on April 17?
Highest temperature in Amsterdam on April 17?
18°C 28%
19°C 28%
17°C 21%
20°C 19%
NOVO
NOVO
17 abr 2026
12°C or below
3%
13°C
6%
14°C
15%
15°C
18%
16°C
18%
17°C
21%
18°C
28%
19°C
28%
20°C
19%
21°C
13%
22°C or higher
11%
18°C 28%
19°C 28%
17°C 21%
20°C 19%
NOVO
NOVO
17 abr 2026
12°C or below
$320 Vol.
3%
13°C
$5 Vol.
6%
14°C
$0 Vol.
15%
15°C
$0 Vol.
18%
16°C
$0 Vol.
18%
17°C
$0 Vol.
21%
18°C
$0 Vol.
28%
19°C
$0 Vol.
28%
20°C
$0 Vol.
19%
21°C
$0 Vol.
13%
22°C or higher
$0 Vol.
11%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects high uncertainty in short-range forecasts for Amsterdam's highest temperature on April 17, with KNMI projecting a 17°C maximum under partly sunny conditions, low 20% precipitation risk, and light westerly winds moderating warmth. Ensemble spreads from ECMWF and GFS models show 3–5°C variability, favoring 18–19°C (21.5–21.0% implied odds) due to a building high-pressure ridge following the Netherlands' first 20°C day on April 8, but northerly airflow or increased cloud cover could drop readings to 12°C or below (20.0%). Outcomes at 20–22°C+ hinge on sustained clear skies and solar heating; new model runs expected April 16 will likely sharpen differentiation amid typical spring volatility.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercado Aberto: Apr 15, 2026, 12:36 AM ET
Volume
$325Data de Término
17 abr 2026Mercado Aberto
Apr 15, 2026, 12:36 AM ETFonte de resolução
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAMResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects high uncertainty in short-range forecasts for Amsterdam's highest temperature on April 17, with KNMI projecting a 17°C maximum under partly sunny conditions, low 20% precipitation risk, and light westerly winds moderating warmth. Ensemble spreads from ECMWF and GFS models show 3–5°C variability, favoring 18–19°C (21.5–21.0% implied odds) due to a building high-pressure ridge following the Netherlands' first 20°C day on April 8, but northerly airflow or increased cloud cover could drop readings to 12°C or below (20.0%). Outcomes at 20–22°C+ hinge on sustained clear skies and solar heating; new model runs expected April 16 will likely sharpen differentiation amid typical spring volatility.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$325Data de Término
17 abr 2026Mercado Aberto
Apr 15, 2026, 12:36 AM ETFonte de resolução
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAMResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects high uncertainty in short-range forecasts for Amsterdam's highest temperature on April 17, with KNMI projecting a 17°C maximum under partly sunny conditions, low 20% precipitation risk, and light westerly winds moderating warmth. Ensemble spreads from ECMWF and GFS models show 3–5°C variability, favoring 18–19°C (21.5–21.0% implied odds) due to a building high-pressure ridge following the Netherlands' first 20°C day on April 8, but northerly airflow or increased cloud cover could drop readings to 12°C or below (20.0%). Outcomes at 20–22°C+ hinge on sustained clear skies and solar heating; new model runs expected April 16 will likely sharpen differentiation amid typical spring volatility.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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