PAGASA's latest forecast, issued April 15, projects a 34°C high temperature for Metro Manila on April 17 under partly cloudy skies with isolated thunderstorm risks near zero, driving trader consensus toward outcomes clustered at 32–35°C with implied probabilities of 16–18%. This reflects easterly winds from a high-pressure ridge promoting dry, warm conditions during the peak dry season, when historical April highs at the Pag-asa observatory often exceed 33°C amid urban heat island effects. Differentiating factors include variable cloud cover potentially capping peaks at 32–33°C or allowing sunnier intervals to push 35–36°C, compounded by neutral ENSO conditions and minimal tropical cyclone influence from distant Sinlaku. Daily updates tomorrow could refine model consensus as proximity to resolution heightens volatility.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoHighest temperature in Manila on April 17?
Highest temperature in Manila on April 17?
33°C 21%
34°C 21%
35°C 21%
32°C 19%
28°C or below
3%
29°C
6%
30°C
7%
31°C
14%
32°C
19%
33°C
21%
34°C
21%
35°C
21%
36°C
18%
37°C
17%
38°C or higher
17%
33°C 21%
34°C 21%
35°C 21%
32°C 19%
28°C or below
3%
29°C
6%
30°C
7%
31°C
14%
32°C
19%
33°C
21%
34°C
21%
35°C
21%
36°C
18%
37°C
17%
38°C or higher
17%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercado Aberto: Apr 15, 2026, 12:46 AM ET
Fonte de resolução
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLLResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Fonte de resolução
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLLResolver
0x69c47De9D...PAGASA's latest forecast, issued April 15, projects a 34°C high temperature for Metro Manila on April 17 under partly cloudy skies with isolated thunderstorm risks near zero, driving trader consensus toward outcomes clustered at 32–35°C with implied probabilities of 16–18%. This reflects easterly winds from a high-pressure ridge promoting dry, warm conditions during the peak dry season, when historical April highs at the Pag-asa observatory often exceed 33°C amid urban heat island effects. Differentiating factors include variable cloud cover potentially capping peaks at 32–33°C or allowing sunnier intervals to push 35–36°C, compounded by neutral ENSO conditions and minimal tropical cyclone influence from distant Sinlaku. Daily updates tomorrow could refine model consensus as proximity to resolution heightens volatility.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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