Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects tight uncertainty in Cape Town's highest temperature on April 17, with 16–19°C outcomes each hovering around 19–28% implied probability, driven by the South African Weather Service's latest forecast of a 19°C maximum under partly cloudy, post-cold front conditions. A cold front sweeping the southwestern Cape on April 15 brought cooler air, southerly winds, and showers, suppressing highs from seasonal norms near 23°C; Friday's outlook anticipates lingering effects with possible isolated showers tempering solar heating. Ensemble model runs show variability in cloud cover and sea breeze strength, key differentiators between 16–17°C (more overcast) and 18–19°C (partial clearing), with updated SAWS guidance and model refreshes expected April 16 potentially shifting sentiment ahead of resolution.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoHighest temperature in Cape Town on April 17?
Highest temperature in Cape Town on April 17?
18°C 28%
16°C 22%
17°C 22%
19°C 22%
NOVO
NOVO
17 abr 2026
14°C or below
7%
15°C
12%
16°C
22%
17°C
22%
18°C
28%
19°C
22%
20°C
6%
21°C
6%
22°C
2%
23°C
2%
24°C or higher
2%
18°C 28%
16°C 22%
17°C 22%
19°C 22%
NOVO
NOVO
17 abr 2026
14°C or below
$158 Vol.
7%
15°C
$0 Vol.
12%
16°C
$0 Vol.
22%
17°C
$0 Vol.
22%
18°C
$0 Vol.
28%
19°C
$0 Vol.
22%
20°C
$11 Vol.
6%
21°C
$13 Vol.
6%
22°C
$15 Vol.
2%
23°C
$18 Vol.
2%
24°C or higher
$129 Vol.
2%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Cape Town International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects tight uncertainty in Cape Town's highest temperature on April 17, with 16–19°C outcomes each hovering around 19–28% implied probability, driven by the South African Weather Service's latest forecast of a 19°C maximum under partly cloudy, post-cold front conditions. A cold front sweeping the southwestern Cape on April 15 brought cooler air, southerly winds, and showers, suppressing highs from seasonal norms near 23°C; Friday's outlook anticipates lingering effects with possible isolated showers tempering solar heating. Ensemble model runs show variability in cloud cover and sea breeze strength, key differentiators between 16–17°C (more overcast) and 18–19°C (partial clearing), with updated SAWS guidance and model refreshes expected April 16 potentially shifting sentiment ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Cape Town International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Cape Town International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercado Aberto: Apr 15, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Volume
$287Data de Término
17 abr 2026Mercado Aberto
Apr 15, 2026, 12:30 AM ETFonte de resolução
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACTResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Cape Town International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects tight uncertainty in Cape Town's highest temperature on April 17, with 16–19°C outcomes each hovering around 19–28% implied probability, driven by the South African Weather Service's latest forecast of a 19°C maximum under partly cloudy, post-cold front conditions. A cold front sweeping the southwestern Cape on April 15 brought cooler air, southerly winds, and showers, suppressing highs from seasonal norms near 23°C; Friday's outlook anticipates lingering effects with possible isolated showers tempering solar heating. Ensemble model runs show variability in cloud cover and sea breeze strength, key differentiators between 16–17°C (more overcast) and 18–19°C (partial clearing), with updated SAWS guidance and model refreshes expected April 16 potentially shifting sentiment ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Cape Town International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Cape Town International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$287Data de Término
17 abr 2026Mercado Aberto
Apr 15, 2026, 12:30 AM ETFonte de resolução
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACTResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects tight uncertainty in Cape Town's highest temperature on April 17, with 16–19°C outcomes each hovering around 19–28% implied probability, driven by the South African Weather Service's latest forecast of a 19°C maximum under partly cloudy, post-cold front conditions. A cold front sweeping the southwestern Cape on April 15 brought cooler air, southerly winds, and showers, suppressing highs from seasonal norms near 23°C; Friday's outlook anticipates lingering effects with possible isolated showers tempering solar heating. Ensemble model runs show variability in cloud cover and sea breeze strength, key differentiators between 16–17°C (more overcast) and 18–19°C (partial clearing), with updated SAWS guidance and model refreshes expected April 16 potentially shifting sentiment ahead of resolution.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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