Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects tight uncertainty in Korea Meteorological Administration short-range forecast models for Busan on April 17, with ensemble runs clustering implied highs between 16°C and 19°C amid a recent heatwave that pushed southern Korea temperatures above 25°C earlier this week. Coastal sea breeze effects from the Korea Strait and potential low-level cloud intrusions differentiate outcomes, as light southerly winds could moderate peaks below historical April averages of 18°C, while persistent high pressure favors 18-19°C. Model spread highlights 48-hour forecast variability, with the next KMA update expected April 16 morning potentially sharpening probabilities ahead of resolution based on official Gimhae Airport observations.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoHighest temperature in Busan on April 17?
Highest temperature in Busan on April 17?
19°C or higher 36%
18°C 23%
17°C 20%
16°C 10%
NOVO
NOVO
17 abr 2026
9°C or below
1%
10°C
2%
11°C
6%
12°C
4%
13°C
5%
14°C
6%
15°C
8%
16°C
10%
17°C
20%
18°C
23%
19°C or higher
36%
19°C or higher 36%
18°C 23%
17°C 20%
16°C 10%
NOVO
NOVO
17 abr 2026
9°C or below
$304 Vol.
1%
10°C
$304 Vol.
2%
11°C
$298 Vol.
6%
12°C
$10 Vol.
4%
13°C
$64 Vol.
5%
14°C
$0 Vol.
6%
15°C
$0 Vol.
8%
16°C
$0 Vol.
10%
17°C
$0 Vol.
20%
18°C
$5 Vol.
23%
19°C or higher
$30 Vol.
36%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Gimhae Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Gimhae Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/busan/RKPK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects tight uncertainty in Korea Meteorological Administration short-range forecast models for Busan on April 17, with ensemble runs clustering implied highs between 16°C and 19°C amid a recent heatwave that pushed southern Korea temperatures above 25°C earlier this week. Coastal sea breeze effects from the Korea Strait and potential low-level cloud intrusions differentiate outcomes, as light southerly winds could moderate peaks below historical April averages of 18°C, while persistent high pressure favors 18-19°C. Model spread highlights 48-hour forecast variability, with the next KMA update expected April 16 morning potentially sharpening probabilities ahead of resolution based on official Gimhae Airport observations.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Gimhae Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Gimhae Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/busan/RKPK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Gimhae Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/busan/RKPK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercado Aberto: Apr 15, 2026, 12:12 AM ET
Volume
$372Data de Término
17 abr 2026Mercado Aberto
Apr 15, 2026, 12:12 AM ETFonte de resolução
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/busan/RKPKResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Gimhae Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Gimhae Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/busan/RKPK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects tight uncertainty in Korea Meteorological Administration short-range forecast models for Busan on April 17, with ensemble runs clustering implied highs between 16°C and 19°C amid a recent heatwave that pushed southern Korea temperatures above 25°C earlier this week. Coastal sea breeze effects from the Korea Strait and potential low-level cloud intrusions differentiate outcomes, as light southerly winds could moderate peaks below historical April averages of 18°C, while persistent high pressure favors 18-19°C. Model spread highlights 48-hour forecast variability, with the next KMA update expected April 16 morning potentially sharpening probabilities ahead of resolution based on official Gimhae Airport observations.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Gimhae Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Gimhae Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/busan/RKPK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Gimhae Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/busan/RKPK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$372Data de Término
17 abr 2026Mercado Aberto
Apr 15, 2026, 12:12 AM ETFonte de resolução
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/busan/RKPKResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects tight uncertainty in Korea Meteorological Administration short-range forecast models for Busan on April 17, with ensemble runs clustering implied highs between 16°C and 19°C amid a recent heatwave that pushed southern Korea temperatures above 25°C earlier this week. Coastal sea breeze effects from the Korea Strait and potential low-level cloud intrusions differentiate outcomes, as light southerly winds could moderate peaks below historical April averages of 18°C, while persistent high pressure favors 18-19°C. Model spread highlights 48-hour forecast variability, with the next KMA update expected April 16 morning potentially sharpening probabilities ahead of resolution based on official Gimhae Airport observations.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
Cuidado com os links externos.
Cuidado com os links externos.
Frequently Asked Questions