The Royal Netherlands Meteorological Institute (KNMI) latest forecast projects a daytime maximum of 18°C in Amsterdam on April 15, with morning sunshine giving way to increased cloudiness and a 30% chance of light showers along the coast, driving trader consensus toward 18–19°C outcomes at 36.5% and 25.5% implied probabilities. ECMWF and GFS ensemble means cluster around 18°C, but select deterministic runs suggest potential for 19°C if cloud cover stays minimal, enhancing insolation on this above-average April day (historical highs typically 12–15°C). Yesterday's 16°C high followed mist clearance and dry conditions, continuing a mild southeasterly flow trend; final model updates today and hourly observations tomorrow could refine these odds amid inherent short-range uncertainty.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoHighest temperature in Amsterdam on April 15?
Highest temperature in Amsterdam on April 15?
19°C 45%
18°C 26%
20°C 14.5%
17°C 6%
$15,177 Vol.
$15,177 Vol.
12°C or below
<1%
13°C
<1%
14°C
<1%
15°C
1%
16°C
1%
17°C
6%
18°C
26%
19°C
41%
20°C
15%
21°C
4%
22°C or higher
1%
19°C 45%
18°C 26%
20°C 14.5%
17°C 6%
$15,177 Vol.
$15,177 Vol.
12°C or below
<1%
13°C
<1%
14°C
<1%
15°C
1%
16°C
1%
17°C
6%
18°C
26%
19°C
41%
20°C
15%
21°C
4%
22°C or higher
1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercado Aberto: Apr 13, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
Fonte de resolução
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAMResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Fonte de resolução
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAMResolver
0x69c47De9D...The Royal Netherlands Meteorological Institute (KNMI) latest forecast projects a daytime maximum of 18°C in Amsterdam on April 15, with morning sunshine giving way to increased cloudiness and a 30% chance of light showers along the coast, driving trader consensus toward 18–19°C outcomes at 36.5% and 25.5% implied probabilities. ECMWF and GFS ensemble means cluster around 18°C, but select deterministic runs suggest potential for 19°C if cloud cover stays minimal, enhancing insolation on this above-average April day (historical highs typically 12–15°C). Yesterday's 16°C high followed mist clearance and dry conditions, continuing a mild southeasterly flow trend; final model updates today and hourly observations tomorrow could refine these odds amid inherent short-range uncertainty.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
Cuidado com os links externos.
Cuidado com os links externos.
Frequently Asked Questions