Trader sentiment heavily favors a high temperature of 58°F or higher in Atlanta on March 25 (96.8% implied probability), propelled by converging short-range forecasts from NOAA's Global Forecast System and European models projecting highs near 63°F under partly sunny skies and a mild southerly flow. National Weather Service guidance reinforces this with above-normal spring warmth, consistent with Atlanta's March climatology averaging 62°F highs and recent observations of a stabilizing warm air mass. Ensemble model agreement minimizes uncertainty, but realistic challenges include an abrupt cold frontal passage from the northwest or low-level wind shear disrupting the pattern, potentially capping highs below 58°F—scenarios deemed improbable by current data.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket · AtualizadoHighest temperature in Atlanta on March 25?
Highest temperature in Atlanta on March 25?
58°F or higher 96.8%
52-53°F 1.7%
54-55°F <1%
56-57°F <1%
$21,214 Vol.
$21,214 Vol.
39°F or below
<1%
40-41°F
1%
42-43°F
1%
44-45°F
1%
46-47°F
<1%
48-49°F
1%
50-51°F
1%
52-53°F
2%
54-55°F
1%
56-57°F
1%
58°F or higher
97%
58°F or higher 96.8%
52-53°F 1.7%
54-55°F <1%
56-57°F <1%
$21,214 Vol.
$21,214 Vol.
39°F or below
<1%
40-41°F
1%
42-43°F
1%
44-45°F
1%
46-47°F
<1%
48-49°F
1%
50-51°F
1%
52-53°F
2%
54-55°F
1%
56-57°F
1%
58°F or higher
97%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Hartsfield-Jackson International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ga/atlanta/KATL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercado Aberto: Mar 21, 2026, 6:02 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ga/atlanta/KATLResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ga/atlanta/KATLResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader sentiment heavily favors a high temperature of 58°F or higher in Atlanta on March 25 (96.8% implied probability), propelled by converging short-range forecasts from NOAA's Global Forecast System and European models projecting highs near 63°F under partly sunny skies and a mild southerly flow. National Weather Service guidance reinforces this with above-normal spring warmth, consistent with Atlanta's March climatology averaging 62°F highs and recent observations of a stabilizing warm air mass. Ensemble model agreement minimizes uncertainty, but realistic challenges include an abrupt cold frontal passage from the northwest or low-level wind shear disrupting the pattern, potentially capping highs below 58°F—scenarios deemed improbable by current data.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket · Atualizado
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