Trader sentiment for Seoul's highest temperature on March 25 clusters tightly around 14–15°C, driven by the Korea Meteorological Administration's latest forecast projecting a daytime high of 14°C under high-pressure ridging, with ECMWF ensembles implying slight upside to 15°C from enhanced solar insolation. This mild spring warmup contrasts historical March averages of 11–12°C at Gimpo station, where measurements capture peak hourly readings. Differentiating factors include model spread from transient cloud cover or northerly gusts cooling 13°C outcomes (17% odds), while sub-13°C bets (16.5% cluster) reflect tail risks of stalled cold air masses; upcoming 0000Z model runs could sharpen resolution criteria.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket · AtualizadoHighest temperature in Seoul on March 25?
Highest temperature in Seoul on March 25?
15°C or higher 39%
14°C 32%
13°C 20%
12°C 17%
5°C or below
2%
6°C
12%
7°C
14%
8°C
17%
9°C
17%
10°C
17%
11°C
17%
12°C
17%
13°C
20%
14°C
37%
15°C or higher
39%
15°C or higher 39%
14°C 32%
13°C 20%
12°C 17%
5°C or below
2%
6°C
12%
7°C
14%
8°C
17%
9°C
17%
10°C
17%
11°C
17%
12°C
17%
13°C
20%
14°C
37%
15°C or higher
39%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Incheon Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercado Aberto: Mar 21, 2026, 6:02 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSIResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSIResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader sentiment for Seoul's highest temperature on March 25 clusters tightly around 14–15°C, driven by the Korea Meteorological Administration's latest forecast projecting a daytime high of 14°C under high-pressure ridging, with ECMWF ensembles implying slight upside to 15°C from enhanced solar insolation. This mild spring warmup contrasts historical March averages of 11–12°C at Gimpo station, where measurements capture peak hourly readings. Differentiating factors include model spread from transient cloud cover or northerly gusts cooling 13°C outcomes (17% odds), while sub-13°C bets (16.5% cluster) reflect tail risks of stalled cold air masses; upcoming 0000Z model runs could sharpen resolution criteria.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket · Atualizado
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