Trader consensus on Polymarket centers on 88-93°F highs for Dallas on March 25, driven by the latest GFS and ECMWF ensemble forecasts converging around 89-92°F amid a potent upper-level ridge fostering subsidence warming and dry adiabatic descent. NOAA's National Weather Service point forecast aligns at near 90°F with sunny skies and light southwest winds enhancing daytime heating. Differentiating the top bins, GFS runs tilt cooler toward 88-89°F due to lingering weak cold-air advection remnants, while ECMWF projects 92-93°F from amplified ridging; evening 00z model updates could shift odds as traders weigh this spread against historical March norms of 68°F and low cloud risk.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket · AtualizadoHighest temperature in Dallas on March 25?
Highest temperature in Dallas on March 25?
88-89°F 29%
90-91°F 27%
92-93°F 25%
86-87°F 23%
79°F or below
2%
80-81°F
8%
82-83°F
9%
84-85°F
12%
86-87°F
23%
88-89°F
29%
90-91°F
27%
92-93°F
25%
94-95°F
12%
96-97°F
1%
98°F or higher
1%
88-89°F 29%
90-91°F 27%
92-93°F 25%
86-87°F 23%
79°F or below
2%
80-81°F
8%
82-83°F
9%
84-85°F
12%
86-87°F
23%
88-89°F
29%
90-91°F
27%
92-93°F
25%
94-95°F
12%
96-97°F
1%
98°F or higher
1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Dallas Love Field Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/dallas/KDAL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercado Aberto: Mar 21, 2026, 6:02 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/dallas/KDALResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/dallas/KDALResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket centers on 88-93°F highs for Dallas on March 25, driven by the latest GFS and ECMWF ensemble forecasts converging around 89-92°F amid a potent upper-level ridge fostering subsidence warming and dry adiabatic descent. NOAA's National Weather Service point forecast aligns at near 90°F with sunny skies and light southwest winds enhancing daytime heating. Differentiating the top bins, GFS runs tilt cooler toward 88-89°F due to lingering weak cold-air advection remnants, while ECMWF projects 92-93°F from amplified ridging; evening 00z model updates could shift odds as traders weigh this spread against historical March norms of 68°F and low cloud risk.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket · Atualizado
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