Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects tight uncertainty in National Weather Service forecasts for Atlanta's high temperature on March 29, with ensemble models like GFS and ECMWF projecting a narrow range of 66-71°F amid variable cloud cover and light southerly winds. Recent 12-48 hour updates show minimal shift from prior runs, as a weak upper-level trough lingers over the Southeast, capping potent warming while surface highs hover near climatological norms of 68°F for late March. Differentiating factors include potential for diurnally driven mixing to push toward 70-71°F under partial sun, versus lingering low-level moisture favoring 66-67°F; fresh model guidance expected midday March 28 could refine this 45-55% implied probability spread across top outcomes. Historical analogs from similar synoptic setups confirm frequent outcomes in this bin, underscoring model divergence on boundary layer stability.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket · AtualizadoHighest temperature in Atlanta on March 29?
Highest temperature in Atlanta on March 29?
68-69°F 29%
66-67°F 27%
70-71°F 20%
64-65°F 16%
59°F or below
4%
60-61°F
8%
62-63°F
11%
64-65°F
16%
66-67°F
27%
68-69°F
29%
70-71°F
20%
72-73°F
15%
74-75°F
8%
76-77°F
10%
78°F or higher
2%
68-69°F 29%
66-67°F 27%
70-71°F 20%
64-65°F 16%
59°F or below
4%
60-61°F
8%
62-63°F
11%
64-65°F
16%
66-67°F
27%
68-69°F
29%
70-71°F
20%
72-73°F
15%
74-75°F
8%
76-77°F
10%
78°F or higher
2%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Hartsfield-Jackson International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ga/atlanta/KATL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercado Aberto: Mar 25, 2026, 6:02 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ga/atlanta/KATLResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ga/atlanta/KATLResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects tight uncertainty in National Weather Service forecasts for Atlanta's high temperature on March 29, with ensemble models like GFS and ECMWF projecting a narrow range of 66-71°F amid variable cloud cover and light southerly winds. Recent 12-48 hour updates show minimal shift from prior runs, as a weak upper-level trough lingers over the Southeast, capping potent warming while surface highs hover near climatological norms of 68°F for late March. Differentiating factors include potential for diurnally driven mixing to push toward 70-71°F under partial sun, versus lingering low-level moisture favoring 66-67°F; fresh model guidance expected midday March 28 could refine this 45-55% implied probability spread across top outcomes. Historical analogs from similar synoptic setups confirm frequent outcomes in this bin, underscoring model divergence on boundary layer stability.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket · Atualizado
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