Trader consensus implied by Polymarket odds favors Denver's March 29 high temperature in the 80-81°F range (26.3%) and 76-77°F (23.0%), capturing model ensemble spread under a high-pressure ridge building over the central Rockies. National Weather Service guidance points to a high near 78°F with light winds and ample sunshine, but divergences persist: GFS runs project 80-83°F via downslope chinook warming from the Front Range, while ECMWF ensembles hold cooler at 74-77°F due to lingering mid-level clouds and cooler air masses. Recent soundings confirm dry air favoring compression heating, yet springtime variability in Denver's elevation-driven forecasts keeps outcomes tight. Updated 00z model runs and morning observations today will sharpen resolution ahead of the event.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket · AtualizadoHighest temperature in Denver on March 29?
Highest temperature in Denver on March 29?
76-77°F 23%
84°F or higher 21%
80-81°F 20.0%
78-79°F 14.1%
65°F or below
2%
66-67°F
5%
68-69°F
7%
70-71°F
6%
72-73°F
9%
74-75°F
9%
76-77°F
23%
78-79°F
14%
80-81°F
26%
82-83°F
9%
84°F or higher
21%
76-77°F 23%
84°F or higher 21%
80-81°F 20.0%
78-79°F 14.1%
65°F or below
2%
66-67°F
5%
68-69°F
7%
70-71°F
6%
72-73°F
9%
74-75°F
9%
76-77°F
23%
78-79°F
14%
80-81°F
26%
82-83°F
9%
84°F or higher
21%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Buckley Space Force Base Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKF.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercado Aberto: Mar 25, 2026, 6:16 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKFResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKFResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus implied by Polymarket odds favors Denver's March 29 high temperature in the 80-81°F range (26.3%) and 76-77°F (23.0%), capturing model ensemble spread under a high-pressure ridge building over the central Rockies. National Weather Service guidance points to a high near 78°F with light winds and ample sunshine, but divergences persist: GFS runs project 80-83°F via downslope chinook warming from the Front Range, while ECMWF ensembles hold cooler at 74-77°F due to lingering mid-level clouds and cooler air masses. Recent soundings confirm dry air favoring compression heating, yet springtime variability in Denver's elevation-driven forecasts keeps outcomes tight. Updated 00z model runs and morning observations today will sharpen resolution ahead of the event.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket · Atualizado
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