Trader consensus clusters tightly around 23-25°C for Taipei's March 26 high, driven by ensemble forecasts from GFS (23.5°C mean) and ECMWF (25°C) amid a mild northeasterly flow post-cold front. Taiwan's Central Weather Administration projects 24-25°C with partial cloud cover limiting solar heating, aligning with historical late-March averages of 23°C but tempered by diurnal sea breezes. Differentiating factors include urban heat island effects potentially boosting 24-25°C odds versus model spreads and overnight lows near 20°C favoring cooler peaks. Final pre-dawn observations and 12z model runs will sharpen resolution amid this 2°C uncertainty band.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket · AtualizadoHighest temperature in Taipei on March 26?
Highest temperature in Taipei on March 26?
24°C 36%
23°C 20%
25°C 18%
27°C or higher 14%
17°C or below
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
1%
20°C
2%
21°C
2%
22°C
3%
23°C
20%
24°C
36%
25°C
21%
26°C
14%
27°C or higher
14%
24°C 36%
23°C 20%
25°C 18%
27°C or higher 14%
17°C or below
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
1%
20°C
2%
21°C
2%
22°C
3%
23°C
20%
24°C
36%
25°C
21%
26°C
14%
27°C or higher
14%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=RCTP
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercado Aberto: Mar 22, 2026, 6:30 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus clusters tightly around 23-25°C for Taipei's March 26 high, driven by ensemble forecasts from GFS (23.5°C mean) and ECMWF (25°C) amid a mild northeasterly flow post-cold front. Taiwan's Central Weather Administration projects 24-25°C with partial cloud cover limiting solar heating, aligning with historical late-March averages of 23°C but tempered by diurnal sea breezes. Differentiating factors include urban heat island effects potentially boosting 24-25°C odds versus model spreads and overnight lows near 20°C favoring cooler peaks. Final pre-dawn observations and 12z model runs will sharpen resolution amid this 2°C uncertainty band.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket · Atualizado
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