Trader consensus on Polymarket favors a high temperature of 68°F or higher in Dallas at 46.5% implied probability, driven by the latest National Weather Service forecasts indicating sunny skies and highs near 70°F under a strengthening upper-level ridge over the southern Plains. Recent model runs from the GFS and ECMWF ensembles show consistent warm advection from southerly winds, with mean projected highs in the upper 60s amid low precipitation chances. This positions nearby bins like 64-65°F (18.5%) and 66-67°F (17.5%) as contenders if diurnally variable cloud cover caps peaks. Late March climatology averages around 67°F, but inherent forecast uncertainty from boundary layer mixing and afternoon heating could shift outcomes; watch morning soundings and updated guidance for refinements before resolution on official observations.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket · AtualizadoHighest temperature in Dallas on March 28?
Highest temperature in Dallas on March 28?
68°F or higher 47%
66-67°F 16%
64-65°F 16%
62-63°F 14%
49°F or below
1%
50-51°F
1%
52-53°F
1%
54-55°F
1%
56-57°F
2%
58-59°F
6%
60-61°F
7%
62-63°F
14%
64-65°F
16%
66-67°F
16%
68°F or higher
47%
68°F or higher 47%
66-67°F 16%
64-65°F 16%
62-63°F 14%
49°F or below
1%
50-51°F
1%
52-53°F
1%
54-55°F
1%
56-57°F
2%
58-59°F
6%
60-61°F
7%
62-63°F
14%
64-65°F
16%
66-67°F
16%
68°F or higher
47%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Dallas Love Field Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/dallas/KDAL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercado Aberto: Mar 24, 2026, 6:02 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/dallas/KDALResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/dallas/KDALResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket favors a high temperature of 68°F or higher in Dallas at 46.5% implied probability, driven by the latest National Weather Service forecasts indicating sunny skies and highs near 70°F under a strengthening upper-level ridge over the southern Plains. Recent model runs from the GFS and ECMWF ensembles show consistent warm advection from southerly winds, with mean projected highs in the upper 60s amid low precipitation chances. This positions nearby bins like 64-65°F (18.5%) and 66-67°F (17.5%) as contenders if diurnally variable cloud cover caps peaks. Late March climatology averages around 67°F, but inherent forecast uncertainty from boundary layer mixing and afternoon heating could shift outcomes; watch morning soundings and updated guidance for refinements before resolution on official observations.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket · Atualizado
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