Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors a Tel Aviv high of 18°C at 22.5% implied probability, driven by the latest ensemble forecasts from ECMWF and GFS models, which converge on daytime peaks near 18°C amid a stable high-pressure ridge over the eastern Mediterranean. Israel's Meteorological Service (IMS) aligns with this, projecting mild spring conditions with sea breezes capping temperatures after morning warming; historical March 25 highs average 19°C but vary ±2°C due to diurnal cycles and coastal moderation. Closely trailing odds for 17–20°C reflect model spread from minor trough influences or cloud cover uncertainty, while extremes below 15°C or above 23°C remain negligible absent anomalous fronts, with final IMS observations resolving the market.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket · AtualizadoTemperatura mais alta em Tel Aviv em 25 de março?
Temperatura mais alta em Tel Aviv em 25 de março?
18°C 23%
19°C 18%
17°C 17%
20°C 17%
14°C ou menos
2%
15°C
11%
16°C
14%
17°C
17%
18°C
23%
19°C
18%
20°C
17%
21°C
16%
22°C
16%
23°C
1%
24°C ou mais
1%
18°C 23%
19°C 18%
17°C 17%
20°C 17%
14°C ou menos
2%
15°C
11%
16°C
14%
17°C
17%
18°C
23%
19°C
18%
20°C
17%
21°C
16%
22°C
16%
23°C
1%
24°C ou mais
1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercado Aberto: Mar 21, 2026, 6:02 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors a Tel Aviv high of 18°C at 22.5% implied probability, driven by the latest ensemble forecasts from ECMWF and GFS models, which converge on daytime peaks near 18°C amid a stable high-pressure ridge over the eastern Mediterranean. Israel's Meteorological Service (IMS) aligns with this, projecting mild spring conditions with sea breezes capping temperatures after morning warming; historical March 25 highs average 19°C but vary ±2°C due to diurnal cycles and coastal moderation. Closely trailing odds for 17–20°C reflect model spread from minor trough influences or cloud cover uncertainty, while extremes below 15°C or above 23°C remain negligible absent anomalous fronts, with final IMS observations resolving the market.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket · Atualizado
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