Trader consensus strongly favors a high of 27°C or higher in Buenos Aires on March 28 at 65.5% implied probability, propelled by the latest ECMWF and GFS ensemble forecasts projecting maxima of 27-30°C under a persistent subtropical high-pressure ridge suppressing cloud cover and trapping heat. Recent surface observations confirm this trajectory, with temperatures surpassing 30°C mid-week and minimal cooling overnight due to light southerly winds. Argentina's Servicio Meteorológico Nacional aligns, citing low precipitation risk and radiative warming, elevating 26°C to 16% while relegating sub-25°C outcomes below 10% amid late-autumn heat anomalies exceeding the 24°C March baseline. Upcoming 12Z model runs could refine these odds further.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket · AtualizadoHighest temperature in Buenos Aires on March 28?
Highest temperature in Buenos Aires on March 28?
27°C or higher 66%
26°C 16%
24°C 7%
25°C 7%
17°C or below
2%
18°C
4%
19°C
2%
20°C
5%
21°C
4%
22°C
4%
23°C
4%
24°C
7%
25°C
7%
26°C
16%
27°C or higher
66%
27°C or higher 66%
26°C 16%
24°C 7%
25°C 7%
17°C or below
2%
18°C
4%
19°C
2%
20°C
5%
21°C
4%
22°C
4%
23°C
4%
24°C
7%
25°C
7%
26°C
16%
27°C or higher
66%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercado Aberto: Mar 24, 2026, 6:01 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus strongly favors a high of 27°C or higher in Buenos Aires on March 28 at 65.5% implied probability, propelled by the latest ECMWF and GFS ensemble forecasts projecting maxima of 27-30°C under a persistent subtropical high-pressure ridge suppressing cloud cover and trapping heat. Recent surface observations confirm this trajectory, with temperatures surpassing 30°C mid-week and minimal cooling overnight due to light southerly winds. Argentina's Servicio Meteorológico Nacional aligns, citing low precipitation risk and radiative warming, elevating 26°C to 16% while relegating sub-25°C outcomes below 10% amid late-autumn heat anomalies exceeding the 24°C March baseline. Upcoming 12Z model runs could refine these odds further.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket · Atualizado
Cuidado com os links externos.
Cuidado com os links externos.
Frequently Asked Questions