Trader consensus on Polymarket clusters tightly around 16–18°C for Paris's highest temperature on March 24, driven by ensemble weather model averages from ECMWF, GFS, and Météo-France projecting peaks in that range amid a high-pressure ridge ushering mild Atlantic air. Météo-France's latest forecast indicates a 17.5°C maximum under partly cloudy skies, while ECMWF leans warmer at 18°C and GFS cooler at 16°C, reflecting uncertainty from variable cloud cover and southerly winds. This 1–2°C spread differentiates leading outcomes, as minimal solar heating or sea-breeze moderation could tip the balance; historical March 24 highs average 12°C, but the ongoing warm anomaly elevates above-normal odds, with 12Z model runs pivotal for final positioning.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket · AtualizadoTemperatura mais alta em Paris no dia 24 de março?
Temperatura mais alta em Paris no dia 24 de março?
18°C 29%
17°C 28%
16°C 26%
19°C 19%
12°C ou menos
2%
13°C
15%
14°C
13%
15°C
12%
16°C
26%
17°C
28%
18°C
29%
19°C
19%
20°C
15%
21°C
11%
22°C ou mais
10%
18°C 29%
17°C 28%
16°C 26%
19°C 19%
12°C ou menos
2%
13°C
15%
14°C
13%
15°C
12%
16°C
26%
17°C
28%
18°C
29%
19°C
19%
20°C
15%
21°C
11%
22°C ou mais
10%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Charles de Gaulle Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/paris/LFPG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercado Aberto: Mar 20, 2026, 6:01 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/paris/LFPGResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/paris/LFPGResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket clusters tightly around 16–18°C for Paris's highest temperature on March 24, driven by ensemble weather model averages from ECMWF, GFS, and Météo-France projecting peaks in that range amid a high-pressure ridge ushering mild Atlantic air. Météo-France's latest forecast indicates a 17.5°C maximum under partly cloudy skies, while ECMWF leans warmer at 18°C and GFS cooler at 16°C, reflecting uncertainty from variable cloud cover and southerly winds. This 1–2°C spread differentiates leading outcomes, as minimal solar heating or sea-breeze moderation could tip the balance; historical March 24 highs average 12°C, but the ongoing warm anomaly elevates above-normal odds, with 12Z model runs pivotal for final positioning.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket · Atualizado
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