Trader sentiment favors 27°C (27%) and 28°C (25.5%) as Buenos Aires' highest temperature on March 27, propelled by the latest ECMWF and GFS ensemble forecasts projecting peaks of 26-29°C under a stabilizing high-pressure ridge. Recent 00Z model runs indicate southerly winds introducing afternoon cooling, tilting odds toward 27°C by limiting convective heating, while urban heat island amplification at Aeroparque station bolsters 28°C viability. Official SMN guidance concurs, with historical March 27 averages near 25°C but this week's warm anomaly—fueled by low cloud cover—compressing outcomes; traders eye 12Z updates for cloud evolution that could swing the closely matched leaders.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket · AtualizadoHighest temperature in Buenos Aires on March 27?
Highest temperature in Buenos Aires on March 27?
27°C 29%
28°C 27%
29°C 14%
30°C 12%
23°C or below
6%
24°C
6%
25°C
3%
26°C
11%
27°C
29%
28°C
27%
29°C
14%
30°C
12%
31°C
7%
32°C
3%
33°C or higher
2%
27°C 29%
28°C 27%
29°C 14%
30°C 12%
23°C or below
6%
24°C
6%
25°C
3%
26°C
11%
27°C
29%
28°C
27%
29°C
14%
30°C
12%
31°C
7%
32°C
3%
33°C or higher
2%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercado Aberto: Mar 23, 2026, 6:01 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader sentiment favors 27°C (27%) and 28°C (25.5%) as Buenos Aires' highest temperature on March 27, propelled by the latest ECMWF and GFS ensemble forecasts projecting peaks of 26-29°C under a stabilizing high-pressure ridge. Recent 00Z model runs indicate southerly winds introducing afternoon cooling, tilting odds toward 27°C by limiting convective heating, while urban heat island amplification at Aeroparque station bolsters 28°C viability. Official SMN guidance concurs, with historical March 27 averages near 25°C but this week's warm anomaly—fueled by low cloud cover—compressing outcomes; traders eye 12Z updates for cloud evolution that could swing the closely matched leaders.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket · Atualizado
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