Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors 82-83°F (30.5%) as Denver's high on March 26, driven by the latest NOAA GFS and ECMWF model runs showing a stubborn high-pressure ridge over the Rockies, fostering clear skies and downslope winds that promote adiabatic compression warming. This setup has boosted implied odds for the upper 80s, with 80-81°F (21.5%) close behind due to ensemble spreads where cooler outliers account for minor cloud intrusions or lighter winds. Historical late-March norms hover in the mid-50s°F, but this anomalously warm ridge—fueled by persistent Arctic Oscillation negativity—differentiates leaders from lower bins like 78-79°F (16.5%), though traders eye afternoon forecast tweaks for resolution risks amid typical spring volatility.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket · AtualizadoHighest temperature in Denver on March 26?
Highest temperature in Denver on March 26?
82-83°F 26%
80-81°F 20%
76-77°F 16%
78-79°F 16%
71°F or below
4%
72-73°F
6%
74-75°F
9%
76-77°F
16%
78-79°F
16%
80-81°F
20%
82-83°F
26%
84-85°F
3%
86-87°F
5%
88-89°F
3%
90°F or higher
2%
82-83°F 26%
80-81°F 20%
76-77°F 16%
78-79°F 16%
71°F or below
4%
72-73°F
6%
74-75°F
9%
76-77°F
16%
78-79°F
16%
80-81°F
20%
82-83°F
26%
84-85°F
3%
86-87°F
5%
88-89°F
3%
90°F or higher
2%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Buckly Space Force Base Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKF.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercado Aberto: Mar 22, 2026, 6:26 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/denver/KDENResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/denver/KDENResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors 82-83°F (30.5%) as Denver's high on March 26, driven by the latest NOAA GFS and ECMWF model runs showing a stubborn high-pressure ridge over the Rockies, fostering clear skies and downslope winds that promote adiabatic compression warming. This setup has boosted implied odds for the upper 80s, with 80-81°F (21.5%) close behind due to ensemble spreads where cooler outliers account for minor cloud intrusions or lighter winds. Historical late-March norms hover in the mid-50s°F, but this anomalously warm ridge—fueled by persistent Arctic Oscillation negativity—differentiates leaders from lower bins like 78-79°F (16.5%), though traders eye afternoon forecast tweaks for resolution risks amid typical spring volatility.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket · Atualizado
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