Trader consensus heavily favors the 92-93°F bin for Houston’s June 13 high because official National Weather Service measurements at key stations aligned precisely with the long-term climatological normal of 92°F for that calendar date. June conditions featured typical subtropical high pressure and southerly flow, producing afternoon maxima near seasonal averages without significant heat advection or subsidence strengthening. Model consensus from NOAA runs showed limited spread around 90-94°F, with observed data confirming no departure into adjacent bins. Realistic challenges include station-specific microclimate variations between Hobby Airport and IAH or post-hoc quality-control adjustments to the daily climatological report, though such revisions remain uncommon once preliminary observations are released.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoTemperatura mais alta em Houston em 13 de junho?
92-93°F 100.0%
79°F ou menos <1%
80-81°F <1%
82-83°F <1%
$39,893 Vol.
$39,893 Vol.
79°F ou menos
Não
80-81°F
Não
82-83°F
Não
84-85°F
Não
30-31°C
Não
88-89°F
Não
32-32,7°C
Não
92-93°F
Sim
94-95°F
Não
96-97°F
Não
98°F ou mais
Não
92-93°F 100.0%
79°F ou menos <1%
80-81°F <1%
82-83°F <1%
$39,893 Vol.
$39,893 Vol.
79°F ou menos
Não
80-81°F
Não
82-83°F
Não
84-85°F
Não
30-31°C
Não
88-89°F
Não
32-32,7°C
Não
92-93°F
Sim
94-95°F
Não
96-97°F
Não
98°F ou mais
Não
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the William P. Hobby Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado Aberto: Jun 11, 2026, 9:04 PM ET
Fonte de resolução
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOUResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resultado proposto: Não
Sem contestação
Resultado final: Não
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the William P. Hobby Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Fonte de resolução
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOUResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resultado proposto: Não
Sem contestação
Resultado final: Não
Trader consensus heavily favors the 92-93°F bin for Houston’s June 13 high because official National Weather Service measurements at key stations aligned precisely with the long-term climatological normal of 92°F for that calendar date. June conditions featured typical subtropical high pressure and southerly flow, producing afternoon maxima near seasonal averages without significant heat advection or subsidence strengthening. Model consensus from NOAA runs showed limited spread around 90-94°F, with observed data confirming no departure into adjacent bins. Realistic challenges include station-specific microclimate variations between Hobby Airport and IAH or post-hoc quality-control adjustments to the daily climatological report, though such revisions remain uncommon once preliminary observations are released.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado


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