Forecast models from AEMET and international ensembles currently indicate a daytime maximum near 37°C in Madrid on August 6 under stable high-pressure conditions with clear skies and light southerly flow. This consensus aligns with the market's leading 37°C outcome at 56.5% implied probability, while the clustered support for 36°C and 38°C reflects typical model spread and measurement uncertainty at official stations. Recent summer warmth across central Spain, including earlier 2026 heat episodes exceeding 40°C, provides climatological context but does not alter the short-term outlook. Updated model runs and official briefings over the next 48 hours will refine the exact peak before resolution.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoTemperatura mais alta em Madrid a 6 de agosto?
Temperatura mais alta em Madrid a 6 de agosto?
37°C 56%
36°C 21%
38°C 21%
35°C 3%
NOVO
NOVO
6 ago 2026
33°C ou menos
<1%
34°C
1%
35°C
3%
36°C
21%
37°C
56%
38°C
21%
39°C
3%
40°C
1%
41°C
<1%
42°C
<1%
43°C ou mais
<1%
37°C 56%
36°C 21%
38°C 21%
35°C 3%
NOVO
NOVO
6 ago 2026
33°C ou menos
$412 Vol.
<1%
34°C
$109 Vol.
1%
35°C
$498 Vol.
3%
36°C
$2,603 Vol.
21%
37°C
$723 Vol.
56%
38°C
$819 Vol.
21%
39°C
$329 Vol.
3%
40°C
$246 Vol.
1%
41°C
$465 Vol.
<1%
42°C
$239 Vol.
<1%
43°C ou mais
$448 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models from AEMET and international ensembles currently indicate a daytime maximum near 37°C in Madrid on August 6 under stable high-pressure conditions with clear skies and light southerly flow. This consensus aligns with the market's leading 37°C outcome at 56.5% implied probability, while the clustered support for 36°C and 38°C reflects typical model spread and measurement uncertainty at official stations. Recent summer warmth across central Spain, including earlier 2026 heat episodes exceeding 40°C, provides climatological context but does not alter the short-term outlook. Updated model runs and official briefings over the next 48 hours will refine the exact peak before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado Aberto: Aug 4, 2026, 1:03 AM ET
Volume
$6,891Data de Término
6 ago 2026Mercado Aberto
Aug 4, 2026, 1:03 AM ETFonte de resolução
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMDResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models from AEMET and international ensembles currently indicate a daytime maximum near 37°C in Madrid on August 6 under stable high-pressure conditions with clear skies and light southerly flow. This consensus aligns with the market's leading 37°C outcome at 56.5% implied probability, while the clustered support for 36°C and 38°C reflects typical model spread and measurement uncertainty at official stations. Recent summer warmth across central Spain, including earlier 2026 heat episodes exceeding 40°C, provides climatological context but does not alter the short-term outlook. Updated model runs and official briefings over the next 48 hours will refine the exact peak before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$6,891Data de Término
6 ago 2026Mercado Aberto
Aug 4, 2026, 1:03 AM ETFonte de resolução
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMDResolver
0x69c47De9D...Forecast models from AEMET and international ensembles currently indicate a daytime maximum near 37°C in Madrid on August 6 under stable high-pressure conditions with clear skies and light southerly flow. This consensus aligns with the market's leading 37°C outcome at 56.5% implied probability, while the clustered support for 36°C and 38°C reflects typical model spread and measurement uncertainty at official stations. Recent summer warmth across central Spain, including earlier 2026 heat episodes exceeding 40°C, provides climatological context but does not alter the short-term outlook. Updated model runs and official briefings over the next 48 hours will refine the exact peak before resolution.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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