Warm-air advection from the south under high pressure is supporting above-average heating in Warsaw on August 6, with latest ensemble guidance from the ECMWF and Met Office converging on a peak of 32–34 °C. Partly cloudy skies and modest upper-level support limit stronger heat, while the risk of afternoon thundershowers could cap temperatures through evaporative cooling and increased cloud cover. Historical August maxima near 26 °C provide context for the elevated readings, yet model spread on convective timing keeps the 32 °C, 33 °C, and 34 °C outcomes closely matched in trader sentiment. Official resolution will depend on verified observations from Warsaw’s primary meteorological stations.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoTemperatura mais alta em Varsóvia no dia 6 de agosto?
33°C 35%
34°C 28%
32°C 19%
35°C 11%
$22,207 Vol.
$22,207 Vol.
29°C ou menos
1%
30°C
3%
31°C
8%
32°C
19%
33°C
35%
34°C
28%
35°C
11%
36°C
1%
37°C
<1%
38°C
<1%
39°C ou mais
<1%
33°C 35%
34°C 28%
32°C 19%
35°C 11%
$22,207 Vol.
$22,207 Vol.
29°C ou menos
1%
30°C
3%
31°C
8%
32°C
19%
33°C
35%
34°C
28%
35°C
11%
36°C
1%
37°C
<1%
38°C
<1%
39°C ou mais
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado Aberto: Aug 4, 2026, 1:03 AM ET
Fonte de resolução
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWAResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Fonte de resolução
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Warm-air advection from the south under high pressure is supporting above-average heating in Warsaw on August 6, with latest ensemble guidance from the ECMWF and Met Office converging on a peak of 32–34 °C. Partly cloudy skies and modest upper-level support limit stronger heat, while the risk of afternoon thundershowers could cap temperatures through evaporative cooling and increased cloud cover. Historical August maxima near 26 °C provide context for the elevated readings, yet model spread on convective timing keeps the 32 °C, 33 °C, and 34 °C outcomes closely matched in trader sentiment. Official resolution will depend on verified observations from Warsaw’s primary meteorological stations.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado

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