Recent NOAA and regional model consensus points to sunny, stable high-pressure conditions over the Pacific Northwest, supporting highs in the mid-80s for Seattle on August 7 amid an ongoing warmer-than-average summer. Subtle differences in onshore marine flow, afternoon sea-breeze timing, and boundary-layer mixing explain why trader probabilities cluster tightly around 84–87°F rather than cooler or hotter bins; even modest increases in cloud cover or stronger westerlies could cap readings near 82–83°F, while clearer skies and lighter winds favor the upper end of that range. Historical August climatology shows typical highs near 77°F, so current guidance reflects both seasonal warmth and short-term synoptic setup, with final NWS observations determining exact resolution.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoTemperatura mais alta em Seattle no dia 7 de agosto?
84-85°F 35%
86-87°F 28%
82-83°F 22%
88-89°F 9%
79°F or below
2%
80-81°F
8%
82-83°F
22%
84-85°F
35%
86-87°F
28%
88-89°F
9%
90-91°F
3%
92-93°F
<1%
94-95°F
1%
96-97°F
<1%
98°F or higher
1%
84-85°F 35%
86-87°F 28%
82-83°F 22%
88-89°F 9%
79°F or below
2%
80-81°F
8%
82-83°F
22%
84-85°F
35%
86-87°F
28%
88-89°F
9%
90-91°F
3%
92-93°F
<1%
94-95°F
1%
96-97°F
<1%
98°F or higher
1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado Aberto: Aug 5, 2026, 9:02 PM ET
Fonte de resolução
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEAResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Fonte de resolução
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent NOAA and regional model consensus points to sunny, stable high-pressure conditions over the Pacific Northwest, supporting highs in the mid-80s for Seattle on August 7 amid an ongoing warmer-than-average summer. Subtle differences in onshore marine flow, afternoon sea-breeze timing, and boundary-layer mixing explain why trader probabilities cluster tightly around 84–87°F rather than cooler or hotter bins; even modest increases in cloud cover or stronger westerlies could cap readings near 82–83°F, while clearer skies and lighter winds favor the upper end of that range. Historical August climatology shows typical highs near 77°F, so current guidance reflects both seasonal warmth and short-term synoptic setup, with final NWS observations determining exact resolution.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado


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