Recent National Weather Service and model ensemble guidance for Houston shows daytime highs likely peaking in the mid-90s on August 7, with the 94-95°F bin holding the highest implied probability at 46% amid tight competition from 92-93°F at 36.5%. Key differentiating factors include the strength of the subtropical ridge, Gulf moisture fueling afternoon sea-breeze convection, and potential cloud cover or isolated thunderstorms that can cap temperatures by 2–4°F. Forecast uncertainty remains elevated because small timing shifts in these features, or differences between GFS and ECMWF runs, readily move the daily maximum across the 93–95°F threshold. Traders are weighting the latest model consensus and any updated NWS briefings expected overnight.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoTemperatura mais alta em Houston no dia 7 de agosto?
Temperatura mais alta em Houston no dia 7 de agosto?
94-95°F 48%
92-93°F 39%
96-97°F 9%
32-33°C 6%
NOVO
NOVO
7 ago 2026
85°F ou abaixo
<1%
30-31°C
1%
88-89°F
2%
32-33°C
6%
92-93°F
39%
94-95°F
48%
96-97°F
9%
98-99°F
2%
100-101°F
1%
102-103°F
<1%
104°F ou mais
<1%
94-95°F 48%
92-93°F 39%
96-97°F 9%
32-33°C 6%
NOVO
NOVO
7 ago 2026
85°F ou abaixo
$246 Vol.
<1%
30-31°C
$321 Vol.
1%
88-89°F
$757 Vol.
2%
32-33°C
$511 Vol.
6%
92-93°F
$675 Vol.
39%
94-95°F
$1,417 Vol.
48%
96-97°F
$1,032 Vol.
9%
98-99°F
$258 Vol.
2%
100-101°F
$215 Vol.
1%
102-103°F
$361 Vol.
<1%
104°F ou mais
$337 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 7 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the William P. Hobby Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Weather Service and model ensemble guidance for Houston shows daytime highs likely peaking in the mid-90s on August 7, with the 94-95°F bin holding the highest implied probability at 46% amid tight competition from 92-93°F at 36.5%. Key differentiating factors include the strength of the subtropical ridge, Gulf moisture fueling afternoon sea-breeze convection, and potential cloud cover or isolated thunderstorms that can cap temperatures by 2–4°F. Forecast uncertainty remains elevated because small timing shifts in these features, or differences between GFS and ECMWF runs, readily move the daily maximum across the 93–95°F threshold. Traders are weighting the latest model consensus and any updated NWS briefings expected overnight.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 7 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the William P. Hobby Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the William P. Hobby Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado Aberto: Aug 5, 2026, 9:03 PM ET
Volume
$6,128Data de Término
7 ago 2026Mercado Aberto
Aug 5, 2026, 9:03 PM ETFonte de resolução
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOUResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 7 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the William P. Hobby Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Weather Service and model ensemble guidance for Houston shows daytime highs likely peaking in the mid-90s on August 7, with the 94-95°F bin holding the highest implied probability at 46% amid tight competition from 92-93°F at 36.5%. Key differentiating factors include the strength of the subtropical ridge, Gulf moisture fueling afternoon sea-breeze convection, and potential cloud cover or isolated thunderstorms that can cap temperatures by 2–4°F. Forecast uncertainty remains elevated because small timing shifts in these features, or differences between GFS and ECMWF runs, readily move the daily maximum across the 93–95°F threshold. Traders are weighting the latest model consensus and any updated NWS briefings expected overnight.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 7 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the William P. Hobby Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the William P. Hobby Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$6,128Data de Término
7 ago 2026Mercado Aberto
Aug 5, 2026, 9:03 PM ETFonte de resolução
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOUResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent National Weather Service and model ensemble guidance for Houston shows daytime highs likely peaking in the mid-90s on August 7, with the 94-95°F bin holding the highest implied probability at 46% amid tight competition from 92-93°F at 36.5%. Key differentiating factors include the strength of the subtropical ridge, Gulf moisture fueling afternoon sea-breeze convection, and potential cloud cover or isolated thunderstorms that can cap temperatures by 2–4°F. Forecast uncertainty remains elevated because small timing shifts in these features, or differences between GFS and ECMWF runs, readily move the daily maximum across the 93–95°F threshold. Traders are weighting the latest model consensus and any updated NWS briefings expected overnight.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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