Trader consensus on Polymarket favors a Tokyo high of 18°C (28.5%) on April 17, with tight odds across 15–20°C outcomes reflecting short-range forecast uncertainty from the Japan Meteorological Agency (JMA). Latest JMA guidance projects a maximum near 21°C under cloudy skies with sunny intervals and 20% scattered shower risk, but persistent low-level cloud cover from a lingering weak frontal system could suppress daytime heating by limiting solar insolation. Recent days featured cloudy conditions with occasional showers, aligning with cooler-than-average trends for mid-April (historical highs ~19°C). Model ensembles show spread due to variable clearing timing and southerly flow strength; watch JMA's April 16 update for refined guidance on peak temperature thresholds.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoHighest temperature in Tokyo on April 17?
Highest temperature in Tokyo on April 17?
19°C 29%
18°C 27%
17°C 20%
15°C 10%
12°C or below
2%
13°C
8%
14°C
7%
15°C
10%
16°C
8%
17°C
20%
18°C
27%
19°C
29%
20°C
9%
21°C
7%
22°C or higher
8%
19°C 29%
18°C 27%
17°C 20%
15°C 10%
12°C or below
2%
13°C
8%
14°C
7%
15°C
10%
16°C
8%
17°C
20%
18°C
27%
19°C
29%
20°C
9%
21°C
7%
22°C or higher
8%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercado Aberto: Apr 15, 2026, 12:06 AM ET
Fonte de resolução
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTTResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Fonte de resolução
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTTResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket favors a Tokyo high of 18°C (28.5%) on April 17, with tight odds across 15–20°C outcomes reflecting short-range forecast uncertainty from the Japan Meteorological Agency (JMA). Latest JMA guidance projects a maximum near 21°C under cloudy skies with sunny intervals and 20% scattered shower risk, but persistent low-level cloud cover from a lingering weak frontal system could suppress daytime heating by limiting solar insolation. Recent days featured cloudy conditions with occasional showers, aligning with cooler-than-average trends for mid-April (historical highs ~19°C). Model ensembles show spread due to variable clearing timing and southerly flow strength; watch JMA's April 16 update for refined guidance on peak temperature thresholds.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
Cuidado com os links externos.
Cuidado com os links externos.
Frequently Asked Questions