MetService's latest forecast, issued April 14 evening, projects a maximum temperature of 18°C in Wellington on April 17 under fine early conditions giving way to morning showers and northwesterlies strengthening to gale force by afternoon, driving trader consensus toward 18°C (34.5% implied probability) as the slight frontrunner over 19°C (31.5%) and 17°C (23.0%). These closely matched odds reflect uncertainty in peak solar heating versus cloud cover from approaching showers and turbulent mixing from gusty winds, which could shave 1–2°C off northerly warmth or allow brief spikes above climatological April norms of 16–17°C. Recent observations, including a 17.1°C high earlier this week, align with near-average trends per NIWA outlooks. Traders await April 16 forecast refinements for model consensus shifts.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoHighest temperature in Wellington on April 17?
Highest temperature in Wellington on April 17?
18°C 35%
19°C 32%
17°C 23%
20°C 8%
$11,696 Vol.
$11,696 Vol.
11°C or below
<1%
12°C
<1%
13°C
<1%
14°C
1%
15°C
2%
16°C
5%
17°C
23%
18°C
35%
19°C
32%
20°C
8%
21°C or higher
2%
18°C 35%
19°C 32%
17°C 23%
20°C 8%
$11,696 Vol.
$11,696 Vol.
11°C or below
<1%
12°C
<1%
13°C
<1%
14°C
1%
15°C
2%
16°C
5%
17°C
23%
18°C
35%
19°C
32%
20°C
8%
21°C or higher
2%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wellington Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercado Aberto: Apr 15, 2026, 12:06 AM ET
Fonte de resolução
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWNResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wellington Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Fonte de resolução
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWNResolver
0x69c47De9D...MetService's latest forecast, issued April 14 evening, projects a maximum temperature of 18°C in Wellington on April 17 under fine early conditions giving way to morning showers and northwesterlies strengthening to gale force by afternoon, driving trader consensus toward 18°C (34.5% implied probability) as the slight frontrunner over 19°C (31.5%) and 17°C (23.0%). These closely matched odds reflect uncertainty in peak solar heating versus cloud cover from approaching showers and turbulent mixing from gusty winds, which could shave 1–2°C off northerly warmth or allow brief spikes above climatological April norms of 16–17°C. Recent observations, including a 17.1°C high earlier this week, align with near-average trends per NIWA outlooks. Traders await April 16 forecast refinements for model consensus shifts.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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