Korea Meteorological Administration short-term forecasts and ensemble model consensus point to a high temperature around 20-21°C in Seoul on April 17, driving trader sentiment toward 18°C or higher at 42% implied probability amid lingering effects of an early-April heat wave that pushed recent highs to 26-28°C. Unseasonably warm southerly flow has dominated, but incoming cloud cover and a 55% chance of showers signal cooling from peaks on April 15-16, clustering probabilities near 15-17°C outcomes. Historical mid-April averages hover at 17°C, underscoring the atypical warmth, though daily updates from KMA could shift guidance as frontal boundaries evolve.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoHighest temperature in Seoul on April 17?
Highest temperature in Seoul on April 17?
18°C or higher 45%
17°C 19%
16°C 17%
15°C 16%
8°C or below
1%
9°C
<1%
10°C
1%
11°C
1%
12°C
1%
13°C
2%
14°C
12%
15°C
16%
16°C
17%
17°C
19%
18°C or higher
45%
18°C or higher 45%
17°C 19%
16°C 17%
15°C 16%
8°C or below
1%
9°C
<1%
10°C
1%
11°C
1%
12°C
1%
13°C
2%
14°C
12%
15°C
16%
16°C
17%
17°C
19%
18°C or higher
45%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Incheon Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercado Aberto: Apr 15, 2026, 12:05 AM ET
Fonte de resolução
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSIResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Incheon Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Fonte de resolução
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSIResolver
0x69c47De9D...Korea Meteorological Administration short-term forecasts and ensemble model consensus point to a high temperature around 20-21°C in Seoul on April 17, driving trader sentiment toward 18°C or higher at 42% implied probability amid lingering effects of an early-April heat wave that pushed recent highs to 26-28°C. Unseasonably warm southerly flow has dominated, but incoming cloud cover and a 55% chance of showers signal cooling from peaks on April 15-16, clustering probabilities near 15-17°C outcomes. Historical mid-April averages hover at 17°C, underscoring the atypical warmth, though daily updates from KMA could shift guidance as frontal boundaries evolve.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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