SpaceX's accelerated IPO timeline, including its May 20 SEC filing and recent pricing at $135 per share targeting a record $75 billion raise, has driven overwhelming trader consensus toward a June debut on Nasdaq under ticker SPCX. With the roadshow underway and listing expected around June 12, market-implied odds reflect this near-term catalyst amid strong institutional demand and a valuation near $1.77 trillion. The 98.9% implied probability for June underscores the wisdom of crowds in aggregating real-capital bets on these confirmed steps. Realistic scenarios that could still shift outcomes include last-minute regulatory delays or pricing adjustments, though such disruptions appear limited given the advanced stage.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoJunho 99.3%
Sem IPO antes de 2027 <1%
Julho <1%
Outubro <1%
$465,403 Vol.
$465,403 Vol.
Junho
99%
Julho
<1%
Agosto
<1%
Setembro
<1%
Outubro
<1%
Novembro
<1%
Dezembro
<1%
Sem IPO antes de 2027
<1%
Junho 99.3%
Sem IPO antes de 2027 <1%
Julho <1%
Outubro <1%
$465,403 Vol.
$465,403 Vol.
Junho
99%
Julho
<1%
Agosto
<1%
Setembro
<1%
Outubro
<1%
Novembro
<1%
Dezembro
<1%
Sem IPO antes de 2027
<1%
If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO before 2027".
Announcements, filings, or scheduling of an IPO will not suffice; this market will resolve after public trading has begun.
Resolution will be based on information from the primary exchange.
Mercado Aberto: Feb 9, 2026, 3:01 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO before 2027".
Announcements, filings, or scheduling of an IPO will not suffice; this market will resolve after public trading has begun.
Resolution will be based on information from the primary exchange.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...SpaceX's accelerated IPO timeline, including its May 20 SEC filing and recent pricing at $135 per share targeting a record $75 billion raise, has driven overwhelming trader consensus toward a June debut on Nasdaq under ticker SPCX. With the roadshow underway and listing expected around June 12, market-implied odds reflect this near-term catalyst amid strong institutional demand and a valuation near $1.77 trillion. The 98.9% implied probability for June underscores the wisdom of crowds in aggregating real-capital bets on these confirmed steps. Realistic scenarios that could still shift outcomes include last-minute regulatory delays or pricing adjustments, though such disruptions appear limited given the advanced stage.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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Cuidado com os links externos.
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