Trader consensus on @khamenei_ir posts from April 17–24 reflects uncertainty in the account's sporadic activity since Ayatollah Ali Khamenei's martyrdom in early March amid the US-Iran-Israel conflict, with new Supreme Leader Mojtaba Khamenei recovering from injuries and limiting public engagements. Recent weeks averaged 4–6 posts—old statements criticizing Zionists, US interference, and Western savagery, plus Easter messages on April 5 and 13—keeping mid-range outcomes like 10–14 (28%) and 25–29 (24%) closely contested against lower tallies such as <5 (21%). Escalations like airstrikes or diplomatic salvos could spike volumes via reactive messaging, while de-escalation or wartime caution might suppress them, highlighting the tight race driven by geopolitical volatility.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoKhamenei # publica de 17 a 24 de abril de 2026?
Khamenei # publica de 17 a 24 de abril de 2026?
10-14 28.2%
35-39 22.5%
60+ 14.1%
<5 14%
NOVO
NOVO
24 abr 2026
<5
20%
5-9
10%
10-14
28%
15-19
7%
20-24
12%
25-29
24%
30-34
2%
35-39
22%
40-44
3%
45-49
2%
50-54
5%
55-59
1%
60+
10%
10-14 28.2%
35-39 22.5%
60+ 14.1%
<5 14%
NOVO
NOVO
24 abr 2026
<5
$262 Vol.
20%
5-9
$263 Vol.
10%
10-14
$274 Vol.
28%
15-19
$219 Vol.
7%
20-24
$235 Vol.
12%
25-29
$256 Vol.
24%
30-34
$190 Vol.
2%
35-39
$207 Vol.
22%
40-44
$233 Vol.
3%
45-49
$239 Vol.
2%
50-54
$230 Vol.
5%
55-59
$225 Vol.
1%
60+
$262 Vol.
10%
This market will resolve according to the number of times Khamenei (@khamenei_ir), posts on X between April 17, 12:00 PM ET and April 24, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.Trader consensus on @khamenei_ir posts from April 17–24 reflects uncertainty in the account's sporadic activity since Ayatollah Ali Khamenei's martyrdom in early March amid the US-Iran-Israel conflict, with new Supreme Leader Mojtaba Khamenei recovering from injuries and limiting public engagements. Recent weeks averaged 4–6 posts—old statements criticizing Zionists, US interference, and Western savagery, plus Easter messages on April 5 and 13—keeping mid-range outcomes like 10–14 (28%) and 25–29 (24%) closely contested against lower tallies such as <5 (21%). Escalations like airstrikes or diplomatic salvos could spike volumes via reactive messaging, while de-escalation or wartime caution might suppress them, highlighting the tight race driven by geopolitical volatility.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Khamenei (@khamenei_ir), posts on X between April 17, 12:00 PM ET and April 24, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Mercado Aberto: Apr 14, 2026, 12:01 AM ET
Volume
$3,094Data de Término
24 abr 2026Mercado Aberto
Apr 14, 2026, 12:01 AM ETFonte de resolução
https://x.com/khamenei_irResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the number of times Khamenei (@khamenei_ir), posts on X between April 17, 12:00 PM ET and April 24, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.Trader consensus on @khamenei_ir posts from April 17–24 reflects uncertainty in the account's sporadic activity since Ayatollah Ali Khamenei's martyrdom in early March amid the US-Iran-Israel conflict, with new Supreme Leader Mojtaba Khamenei recovering from injuries and limiting public engagements. Recent weeks averaged 4–6 posts—old statements criticizing Zionists, US interference, and Western savagery, plus Easter messages on April 5 and 13—keeping mid-range outcomes like 10–14 (28%) and 25–29 (24%) closely contested against lower tallies such as <5 (21%). Escalations like airstrikes or diplomatic salvos could spike volumes via reactive messaging, while de-escalation or wartime caution might suppress them, highlighting the tight race driven by geopolitical volatility.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Khamenei (@khamenei_ir), posts on X between April 17, 12:00 PM ET and April 24, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Volume
$3,094Data de Término
24 abr 2026Mercado Aberto
Apr 14, 2026, 12:01 AM ETFonte de resolução
https://x.com/khamenei_irResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on @khamenei_ir posts from April 17–24 reflects uncertainty in the account's sporadic activity since Ayatollah Ali Khamenei's martyrdom in early March amid the US-Iran-Israel conflict, with new Supreme Leader Mojtaba Khamenei recovering from injuries and limiting public engagements. Recent weeks averaged 4–6 posts—old statements criticizing Zionists, US interference, and Western savagery, plus Easter messages on April 5 and 13—keeping mid-range outcomes like 10–14 (28%) and 25–29 (24%) closely contested against lower tallies such as <5 (21%). Escalations like airstrikes or diplomatic salvos could spike volumes via reactive messaging, while de-escalation or wartime caution might suppress them, highlighting the tight race driven by geopolitical volatility.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
Cuidado com os links externos.
Cuidado com os links externos.
Frequently Asked Questions