**The overwhelming 99.1% market-implied probability on an 82–83°F low for Dallas on September 9 reflects official National Weather Service verification that the minimum reached exactly 82°F at Dallas/Fort Worth International Airport around 6:25 a.m. CDT.** This value sits 11°F above the 1991–2020 climatological normal of 71°F and aligns with a broader late-summer heat pattern, as daytime highs hit 101°F (tying a record) under clear skies and light southerly flow that limited nocturnal cooling. With the date now passed, traders are simply confirming the authoritative NWS climatological report rather than forecasting. The only realistic scenarios that could shift resolution involve measurement discrepancies across official Dallas-area stations or post-verification data revisions, though neither appears likely given the consistency of preliminary observations.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoTemperatura mais baixa em Dallas em 9 de setembro?
Temperatura mais baixa em Dallas em 9 de setembro?
82-83°F 100.0%
80-81°F 10%
78-79°F 2%
71°F ou menos <1%
$2,654 Vol.
$2,654 Vol.
9 set 2026
71°F ou menos
Não
72-73°F
Não
74-75°F
Não
76-77°F
Não
78-79°F
Não
80-81°F
Não
82-83°F
Sim
84-85°F
Não
86-87°F
Não
88-89°F
Não
90°F ou mais
Não
82-83°F 100.0%
80-81°F 10%
78-79°F 2%
71°F ou menos <1%
$2,654 Vol.
$2,654 Vol.
9 set 2026
71°F ou menos
$102 Vol.
Não
72-73°F
$84 Vol.
Não
74-75°F
$85 Vol.
Não
76-77°F
$60 Vol.
Não
78-79°F
$97 Vol.
Não
80-81°F
$80 Vol.
Não
82-83°F
$501 Vol.
Sim
84-85°F
$368 Vol.
Não
86-87°F
$110 Vol.
Não
88-89°F
$1,077 Vol.
Não
90°F ou mais
$90 Vol.
Não
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Dallas Love Field Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 9 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kdal
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**The overwhelming 99.1% market-implied probability on an 82–83°F low for Dallas on September 9 reflects official National Weather Service verification that the minimum reached exactly 82°F at Dallas/Fort Worth International Airport around 6:25 a.m. CDT.**
This value sits 11°F above the 1991–2020 climatological normal of 71°F and aligns with a broader late-summer heat pattern, as daytime highs hit 101°F (tying a record) under clear skies and light southerly flow that limited nocturnal cooling. With the date now passed, traders are simply confirming the authoritative NWS climatological report rather than forecasting.
The only realistic scenarios that could shift resolution involve measurement discrepancies across official Dallas-area stations or post-verification data revisions, though neither appears likely given the consistency of preliminary observations.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Dallas Love Field Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 9 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kdal
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kdal
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado Aberto: Sep 7, 2026, 3:29 AM ET
Volume
$2,654Data de Término
9 set 2026Mercado Aberto
Sep 7, 2026, 3:29 AM ETFonte de resolução
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kdalResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resultado proposto: Não
Sem contestação
Resultado final: Não
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Dallas Love Field Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 9 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kdal
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**The overwhelming 99.1% market-implied probability on an 82–83°F low for Dallas on September 9 reflects official National Weather Service verification that the minimum reached exactly 82°F at Dallas/Fort Worth International Airport around 6:25 a.m. CDT.**
This value sits 11°F above the 1991–2020 climatological normal of 71°F and aligns with a broader late-summer heat pattern, as daytime highs hit 101°F (tying a record) under clear skies and light southerly flow that limited nocturnal cooling. With the date now passed, traders are simply confirming the authoritative NWS climatological report rather than forecasting.
The only realistic scenarios that could shift resolution involve measurement discrepancies across official Dallas-area stations or post-verification data revisions, though neither appears likely given the consistency of preliminary observations.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Dallas Love Field Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 9 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kdal
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kdal
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$2,654Data de Término
9 set 2026Mercado Aberto
Sep 7, 2026, 3:29 AM ETFonte de resolução
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kdalResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resultado proposto: Não
Sem contestação
Resultado final: Não
**The overwhelming 99.1% market-implied probability on an 82–83°F low for Dallas on September 9 reflects official National Weather Service verification that the minimum reached exactly 82°F at Dallas/Fort Worth International Airport around 6:25 a.m. CDT.** This value sits 11°F above the 1991–2020 climatological normal of 71°F and aligns with a broader late-summer heat pattern, as daytime highs hit 101°F (tying a record) under clear skies and light southerly flow that limited nocturnal cooling. With the date now passed, traders are simply confirming the authoritative NWS climatological report rather than forecasting. The only realistic scenarios that could shift resolution involve measurement discrepancies across official Dallas-area stations or post-verification data revisions, though neither appears likely given the consistency of preliminary observations.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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Cuidado com os links externos.
Frequently Asked Questions