**Trader consensus heavily favors a 25°C minimum for Guangzhou on September 11, 2026, reflecting model agreement on stable subtropical conditions.** Multiple forecasts show overnight lows settling near 23–26°C under clear to partly cloudy skies, light northerly winds, and typical early-autumn humidity levels, consistent with historical September averages around 24–25°C. Authoritative sources indicate no major frontal systems or significant radiative cooling events are expected to push temperatures lower. The market-implied 97.5% probability on 25°C captures this tight clustering of official guidance. A realistic challenge would require an unforecasted increase in cloud cover or a sharper wind shift, though current model runs show limited divergence and high confidence in the narrow range.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoTemperatura mais baixa em Guangzhou no dia 11 de setembro?
Temperatura mais baixa em Guangzhou no dia 11 de setembro?
25°C 98%
24°C 3%
19°C ou menos <1%
20°C <1%
$731 Vol.
$731 Vol.
11 set 2026
19°C ou menos
Não
20°C
Não
21°C
Não
22°C
Não
23°C
Não
24°C
Não
25°C
Sim
26°C
Não
27°C
Não
28°C
Não
29°C ou mais
Não
25°C 98%
24°C 3%
19°C ou menos <1%
20°C <1%
$731 Vol.
$731 Vol.
11 set 2026
19°C ou menos
$196 Vol.
Não
20°C
$20 Vol.
Não
21°C
$138 Vol.
Não
22°C
$73 Vol.
Não
23°C
$105 Vol.
Não
24°C
$57 Vol.
Não
25°C
$77 Vol.
Sim
26°C
$15 Vol.
Não
27°C
$0 Vol.
Não
28°C
$25 Vol.
Não
29°C ou mais
$25 Vol.
Não
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Trader consensus heavily favors a 25°C minimum for Guangzhou on September 11, 2026, reflecting model agreement on stable subtropical conditions.** Multiple forecasts show overnight lows settling near 23–26°C under clear to partly cloudy skies, light northerly winds, and typical early-autumn humidity levels, consistent with historical September averages around 24–25°C. Authoritative sources indicate no major frontal systems or significant radiative cooling events are expected to push temperatures lower. The market-implied 97.5% probability on 25°C captures this tight clustering of official guidance. A realistic challenge would require an unforecasted increase in cloud cover or a sharper wind shift, though current model runs show limited divergence and high confidence in the narrow range.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado Aberto: Sep 9, 2026, 12:31 AM ET
Volume
$731Data de Término
11 set 2026Mercado Aberto
Sep 9, 2026, 12:31 AM ETFonte de resolução
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgggResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resultado proposto: Não
Sem contestação
Resultado final: Não
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Trader consensus heavily favors a 25°C minimum for Guangzhou on September 11, 2026, reflecting model agreement on stable subtropical conditions.** Multiple forecasts show overnight lows settling near 23–26°C under clear to partly cloudy skies, light northerly winds, and typical early-autumn humidity levels, consistent with historical September averages around 24–25°C. Authoritative sources indicate no major frontal systems or significant radiative cooling events are expected to push temperatures lower. The market-implied 97.5% probability on 25°C captures this tight clustering of official guidance. A realistic challenge would require an unforecasted increase in cloud cover or a sharper wind shift, though current model runs show limited divergence and high confidence in the narrow range.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$731Data de Término
11 set 2026Mercado Aberto
Sep 9, 2026, 12:31 AM ETFonte de resolução
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgggResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resultado proposto: Não
Sem contestação
Resultado final: Não
**Trader consensus heavily favors a 25°C minimum for Guangzhou on September 11, 2026, reflecting model agreement on stable subtropical conditions.** Multiple forecasts show overnight lows settling near 23–26°C under clear to partly cloudy skies, light northerly winds, and typical early-autumn humidity levels, consistent with historical September averages around 24–25°C. Authoritative sources indicate no major frontal systems or significant radiative cooling events are expected to push temperatures lower. The market-implied 97.5% probability on 25°C captures this tight clustering of official guidance. A realistic challenge would require an unforecasted increase in cloud cover or a sharper wind shift, though current model runs show limited divergence and high confidence in the narrow range.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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Cuidado com os links externos.
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