**Trader consensus on 17°C as London's lowest temperature on September 19, 2026, reflects official observational data confirming that minimum.** Mild overnight conditions, driven by a persistent southwesterly flow and above-average warmth for mid-September, kept temperatures from dropping further, with recorded lows around 16.5–17°C at key London stations such as Heathrow. This aligns with the month's broader pattern of elevated temperatures (monthly mean ~18.4°C, +3.8°C above the 15.9°C normal) and limited radiative cooling under cloudy, breezy skies. Historical averages for the date show typical overnight lows near 11°C, making the observed value notably mild. The near-certain market-implied probability accounts for the narrow resolution window and minor station variations; only a significant downward revision in final verified readings or use of an atypical station would alter the outcome.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoTemperatura mais baixa em Londres em 19 de setembro?
Temperatura mais baixa em Londres em 19 de setembro?
17°C 100.0%
12°C ou menos <1%
13°C <1%
14°C <1%
$9,609 Vol.
$9,609 Vol.
19 set 2026
12°C ou menos
Não
13°C
Não
14°C
Não
15°C
Não
16°C
Não
17°C
Sim
18°C
Não
19°C
Não
20°C
Não
21°C
Não
22°C ou mais
Não
17°C 100.0%
12°C ou menos <1%
13°C <1%
14°C <1%
$9,609 Vol.
$9,609 Vol.
19 set 2026
12°C ou menos
$41 Vol.
Não
13°C
$41 Vol.
Não
14°C
$41 Vol.
Não
15°C
$468 Vol.
Não
16°C
$3,151 Vol.
Não
17°C
$2,842 Vol.
Sim
18°C
$2,670 Vol.
Não
19°C
$252 Vol.
Não
20°C
$41 Vol.
Não
21°C
$31 Vol.
Não
22°C ou mais
$31 Vol.
Não
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Trader consensus on 17°C as London's lowest temperature on September 19, 2026, reflects official observational data confirming that minimum.**
Mild overnight conditions, driven by a persistent southwesterly flow and above-average warmth for mid-September, kept temperatures from dropping further, with recorded lows around 16.5–17°C at key London stations such as Heathrow. This aligns with the month's broader pattern of elevated temperatures (monthly mean ~18.4°C, +3.8°C above the 15.9°C normal) and limited radiative cooling under cloudy, breezy skies. Historical averages for the date show typical overnight lows near 11°C, making the observed value notably mild.
The near-certain market-implied probability accounts for the narrow resolution window and minor station variations; only a significant downward revision in final verified readings or use of an atypical station would alter the outcome.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado Aberto: Sep 17, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
Volume
$9,609Data de Término
19 set 2026Mercado Aberto
Sep 17, 2026, 12:29 AM ETFonte de resolução
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglcResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resultado proposto: Não
Sem contestação
Resultado final: Não
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Trader consensus on 17°C as London's lowest temperature on September 19, 2026, reflects official observational data confirming that minimum.**
Mild overnight conditions, driven by a persistent southwesterly flow and above-average warmth for mid-September, kept temperatures from dropping further, with recorded lows around 16.5–17°C at key London stations such as Heathrow. This aligns with the month's broader pattern of elevated temperatures (monthly mean ~18.4°C, +3.8°C above the 15.9°C normal) and limited radiative cooling under cloudy, breezy skies. Historical averages for the date show typical overnight lows near 11°C, making the observed value notably mild.
The near-certain market-implied probability accounts for the narrow resolution window and minor station variations; only a significant downward revision in final verified readings or use of an atypical station would alter the outcome.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$9,609Data de Término
19 set 2026Mercado Aberto
Sep 17, 2026, 12:29 AM ETFonte de resolução
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglcResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resultado proposto: Não
Sem contestação
Resultado final: Não
**Trader consensus on 17°C as London's lowest temperature on September 19, 2026, reflects official observational data confirming that minimum.** Mild overnight conditions, driven by a persistent southwesterly flow and above-average warmth for mid-September, kept temperatures from dropping further, with recorded lows around 16.5–17°C at key London stations such as Heathrow. This aligns with the month's broader pattern of elevated temperatures (monthly mean ~18.4°C, +3.8°C above the 15.9°C normal) and limited radiative cooling under cloudy, breezy skies. Historical averages for the date show typical overnight lows near 11°C, making the observed value notably mild. The near-certain market-implied probability accounts for the narrow resolution window and minor station variations; only a significant downward revision in final verified readings or use of an atypical station would alter the outcome.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
Cuidado com os links externos.
Cuidado com os links externos.
Frequently Asked Questions