Forecast models from major agencies indicate a stable high-pressure system over northern Italy, with clear to mostly clear skies and light variable winds overnight into September 14, supporting radiative cooling but limiting the drop. Expected minimum temperatures cluster around 18–19°C, aligning with September climatology yet slightly above the long-term average low of 16°C due to warmer recent conditions. Ensemble agreement remains high on these values, though minor variations in cloud cover or wind could shift the exact low by 1–2°C. Traders appear to weigh the narrow spread between mid-teen and low-20s outcomes amid this typical late-summer pattern, with upcoming evening observations and final model runs likely to refine resolution probabilities.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoTemperatura mais baixa em Milão a 14 de setembro?
11°C ou menos 64%
21°C ou mais 62%
15°C 39%
14°C 37%
11°C ou menos
64%
12°C
16%
13°C
16%
14°C
37%
15°C
39%
16°C
30%
17°C
26%
18°C
37%
19°C
23%
20°C
17%
21°C ou mais
62%
11°C ou menos 64%
21°C ou mais 62%
15°C 39%
14°C 37%
11°C ou menos
64%
12°C
16%
13°C
16%
14°C
37%
15°C
39%
16°C
30%
17°C
26%
18°C
37%
19°C
23%
20°C
17%
21°C ou mais
62%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado Aberto: Sep 12, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Fonte de resolução
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limcResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Fonte de resolução
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limcResolver
0x69c47De9D...Forecast models from major agencies indicate a stable high-pressure system over northern Italy, with clear to mostly clear skies and light variable winds overnight into September 14, supporting radiative cooling but limiting the drop. Expected minimum temperatures cluster around 18–19°C, aligning with September climatology yet slightly above the long-term average low of 16°C due to warmer recent conditions. Ensemble agreement remains high on these values, though minor variations in cloud cover or wind could shift the exact low by 1–2°C. Traders appear to weigh the narrow spread between mid-teen and low-20s outcomes amid this typical late-summer pattern, with upcoming evening observations and final model runs likely to refine resolution probabilities.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
Cuidado com os links externos.
Cuidado com os links externos.
Frequently Asked Questions