Official forecasts from Russia's Hydrometeorological Center indicate partly cloudy conditions over Moscow on September 9 with no precipitation and a nighttime minimum near +4°C under light westerly winds and stable pressure around 748 mmHg. This aligns closely with the market's near-certain 5°C outcome, reflecting trader assessment of expected readings at the primary resolution station amid typical early-September radiative cooling under clear to partly cloudy skies. Historical September 9 lows average 9.2°C but have reached 3.1°C in past decades, providing context for the tight clustering. Updated model runs or localized station variations could shift the recorded minimum by 1–2°C if cloud cover increases or winds strengthen overnight.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoTemperatura mais baixa em Moscovo a 9 de setembro?
5°C 100.0%
0°C ou menos <1%
1°C <1%
2°C <1%
$2,497 Vol.
$2,497 Vol.
0°C ou menos
Não
1°C
Não
2°C
Não
3°C
Não
4°C
Não
5°C
Sim
6°C
Não
7°C
Não
8°C
Não
9°C
Não
10°C ou mais
Não
5°C 100.0%
0°C ou menos <1%
1°C <1%
2°C <1%
$2,497 Vol.
$2,497 Vol.
0°C ou menos
Não
1°C
Não
2°C
Não
3°C
Não
4°C
Não
5°C
Sim
6°C
Não
7°C
Não
8°C
Não
9°C
Não
10°C ou mais
Não
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado Aberto: Sep 7, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Resultado proposto: Não
Sem contestação
Resultado final: Não
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Resultado proposto: Não
Sem contestação
Resultado final: Não
Official forecasts from Russia's Hydrometeorological Center indicate partly cloudy conditions over Moscow on September 9 with no precipitation and a nighttime minimum near +4°C under light westerly winds and stable pressure around 748 mmHg. This aligns closely with the market's near-certain 5°C outcome, reflecting trader assessment of expected readings at the primary resolution station amid typical early-September radiative cooling under clear to partly cloudy skies. Historical September 9 lows average 9.2°C but have reached 3.1°C in past decades, providing context for the tight clustering. Updated model runs or localized station variations could shift the recorded minimum by 1–2°C if cloud cover increases or winds strengthen overnight.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
Cuidado com os links externos.
Cuidado com os links externos.
Frequently Asked Questions